BMIE Market 75409

Collin County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	27,131 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±777 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,801 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±524 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,831 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,207 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$104,814 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,942 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,078 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±193 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$353,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,892 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	78.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 75409
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+107.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+107.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+866.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+2,800.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	29 (range 23–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	97 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 75409. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	84.9	85	40%	+34.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	84.5	85	35%	+29.6
Market Momentum Score	97.1	97	25%	+24.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	27,131	87	40%	+34.7
Median household income (ACS)	104,814	84	40%	+33.6
Households (ACS)	8,801	83	20%	+16.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	107.1	94	35%	+33.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.7	70	25%	+17.4
Population (ACS)	27,131	87	20%	+17.4
Median household income (ACS)	104,814	84	20%	+16.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 97 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	107.1	98	50%	+48.9
10-year restaurant growth	107.1	94	30%	+28.3
20-year restaurant growth	866.7	99	20%	+19.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (86)

By cuisine

American 20 · Bakery 10 · Pizza 10 · Coffee 9 · Dessert 8 · Mexican 8 · BBQ 7 · Burgers 6 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 6 · Chicken / wings 5 · Italian 4 · Breakfast 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Chinese 2 · Asian 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Quick service 21 · Bakery 11 · Bar 9 · Dessert 9 · Café 8 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2nd Avenue Sports Grill	Casual dining · Bar		620 W White St	open
3 Nations Brewing Anna	Brewery / taproom · Bar		4th St	open
Acai Bowlz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	218 W 4th St	open
An Donuts	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery	Dessert	699 S Powell Pkwy	open
Armadilla BBQ, LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	500 W White St	open
BarnHill Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		11917 Co Rd 509	open
Best Wings In Town	Casual dining · Bar	Chicken / wings · American	824 S Central Expy	open
Big Slicks Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	106 W Houston St.	open
Boba & Bites	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	810 W White St	open
Cantina Lime Cocina Y Copas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	807 S Central ExpresswaySuite 300	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	715 S CENTRAL EXPY	open
Castiel Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop	Coffee	409 S Central Expy	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service		513 S Central Expy	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	513 S Central Expy	open
Chicken Express Chicken Express	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1305 W White St	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		211 S Central Expressway	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	301 N Central Expy	open
Cielos Abiertos Casa de Restauración	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	312 N Powell Pkwy	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	628 W White St Ste 100	open
Collin County Adventure Camp Dining Halll	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service			open
Cookies & a MILK	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2102 Tanur Cascade Dr	open
Country Charm Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	628 W White St	open
Crow's Country Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	113 W 4th St	open
Daddy Rex's Twisted BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	121 W 4th St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	1850 W White St	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	807 S Central Expy Ste 300	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	807 South Cenrtal Expy	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		1850 W White St	open
Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	601 South Ferguson Parkway	open
El Tepeyac Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	403 N Powell Pkwy	open
Everything Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	810 W White St	open
Fanny Mo’s Soul Food and Events	Catering	Cajun, Creole, Southern	728 Mahogany Dr	open
Fuzzys Taco Shop Fuzzy's Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	409 S Central Expy Ste 101	open
Gar Hole	Bar	American · BBQ	106 Houston St	open
Gourmet Street Eatz-Anna	Food truck	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	709 North Powell Parkway	open
Huddle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	714 S Central Expy	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	211 S. Central Expressway	open
Italian Villa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	804 S Central Expy #212	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		817 S Central Expy	open
Jb Legacy Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	121 W 4th St	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	409 S Central Expy	open
Joes italian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	403 N Powell Pkwy	open
Juba Pizza Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · American	804 S Central Expy	open
K Bite	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	2010 W White St #156	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2605 West White Street	open
Lihoudies Authentic Greek Cuisine & Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Greek · Bakery · Mediterranean · European	121 W 4th St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	813 W White St Ste 300	open
Luna´s Sweet Bakery and Pastry	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	329 Penn St	open
Lynch Tx BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	8649 Luscombe Farm Dr	open
Mama Mia's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	203 W 4th St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1317 W White	open
MrJims.Pizza Mr. Jim's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	701 W White St	open
My Estrella	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican		open
Nandas Tex Mex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	810 W White St	open
P T Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	810 W White St Ste 100	open
Panda Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	313 S Central Expy	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	810 W White St Ste 500	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	628 W White St Collin	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	714 S Central Expy	open
Popeyes Popeyes	Quick service		815 S. Central Expressway	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	815 S Central Expressway	open
Rice Xpress	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2609 W White St	open
Roma's Italian Bistro	Bar	Italian · Pizza	111 N Powell Pkwy	open
Salad and Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1460 S Ferguson Pkwy	open
Salsa Tex Mex Salsa Tex Mex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	2530 W White St	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1440 W White St	open
Sebastin Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	118 S Powell Pkwy	open
Sierras Sugar Nest	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	412 Eastbrook Dr	open
Smoken SB BBQ and Catering Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	Collin county	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	207 E. White Street	open
Spurlock's Malt Shop	Casual dining	Burgers · American	504 N Powell Pkwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	323 N 75	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	804 S Central Expy Ste 200	open
Sunview Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	2010 W White St #180	open
Sushi Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2010 W White St Ste 132	open
Swagger Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	807 S Central Expy	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	201 S Central Expy	open
Touchdown Tap house	Bar · Casual dining		1234 W White St Suite#140	open
Trisha Restaurant Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		804 S Central Expy Ste 200	open
US-75 & FM 455 Whataburger	Quick service		601 S CENTRAL EXPY	open
VK Donuts and Cafe Express	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	2513 N Powell Pkwy	open
W White St Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1440 W White St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	521 S Central Expy	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	601 S CENTRAL EXPY	open
Wine Cellar Bar	Bar		218 W 4th St	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service		1310 W. White Street	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	3	—	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	5	4	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	3	2	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	4	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	7	1	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	9	5	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	14	14	6	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	15	15	6	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	17	17	7	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	19	19	8	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	14	3	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	14	3	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	17	3	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	19	5	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	19	3	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	24	8	13	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	29	9	15	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 75409. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.