BMIE Market 75426

Red River County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,351 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±356 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,053 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±201 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,301 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,846 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$35,938 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,111 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,088 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±79 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$93,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,727 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	321.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 75426
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-37.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-37.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-44.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 4–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.41) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	28 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	37 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	32 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	8 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 75426. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.41, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	37.1	37	40%	+14.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	32.0	32	35%	+11.2
Market Momentum Score	7.9	8	25%	+2.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,351	58	40%	+23.2
Median household income (ACS)	35,938	4	40%	+1.6
Households (ACS)	2,053	61	20%	+12.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-37.5	9	35%	+3.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.5	66	25%	+16.6
Population (ACS)	4,351	58	20%	+11.6
Median household income (ACS)	35,938	4	20%	+0.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 8 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-37.5	7	50%	+3.7
10-year restaurant growth	-37.5	9	30%	+2.6
20-year restaurant growth	-37.5	8	20%	+1.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

American 8 · Mexican 5 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Burgers 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alex's Mexican Kitchen	Food truck	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	707 Main St	open
Clarksville Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	1507 W Main St	open
Coleman Barbecue	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	604 N Donoho St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	704 W Main St	open
Deli Etcetera	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 Walnut St	open
Donut Palace	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1606 E Main St	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		704 W Main St	open
El patrón mexican grill Clarksville TX	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2000 Main St	open
Forney ISD The Local	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1800 W College Ave	open
Italian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	106 Walnut St	open
La Bella Airosa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	400 Main St	open
Main Street Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1301 W Main St	open
McDonald's	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Coffee · Burgers	506 W Main Street	open
Milo's Off The Square	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	227 N Walnut St	open
North Woods Store	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	5568 TX-37	open
Nutrition Vibes	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1304 Main St	open
Papi’s Street Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1309 E Main St	open
PEKES Mexican Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	100 S Reagan St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2000 W Main St	open
Snow Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1901 W Main St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	1812 West Main	open
Southern Soul Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Burgers · American	1901 W Main St	open
Star Bar Ranch Bar B Que and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1905 W Main St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	906 W Main St	open
Sugar Mamas	Dessert	Dessert	206 S Lafayette St	open
The Clarksville Crust	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	201 W Church St	open
The Tiger’s Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1700 State Highway 37 N	open
Tracy's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	140 N Walnut St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	11	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	9	4	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	8	6	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	9	5	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	9	7	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	11	7	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	11	7	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	7	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 75426. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.