BMIE Market 75457

Franklin County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,175 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±456 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,057 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±234 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,522 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,176 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$83,916 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,868 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$928 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±90 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$249,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50,725 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	128.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 75457
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+55.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+75.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 15–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.81) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 75457. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.81, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64.5	65	40%	+25.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.9	65	35%	+22.7
Market Momentum Score	84.1	84	25%	+21.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,175	64	40%	+25.5
Median household income (ACS)	83,916	67	40%	+26.7
Households (ACS)	2,057	61	20%	+12.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	75	89	35%	+31.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.7	31	25%	+7.8
Population (ACS)	6,175	64	20%	+12.8
Median household income (ACS)	83,916	67	20%	+13.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	40	87	50%	+43.7
10-year restaurant growth	75	89	30%	+26.6
20-year restaurant growth	55.6	69	20%	+13.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

American 12 · Coffee 7 · Bakery 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Dessert 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · BBQ 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 5 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Chester's Chicken Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Chicken / wings · American	215 E, N Service Rd, I-30	open
Chivos Texas Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1142 Texas Highway 37 N	open
Cotton Belt Usa, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	300 SE Access Rd	open
Country Stove Warehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5064 Farm Road 115	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	I-30 At Hwy 37	open
Daylight Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	213 Texas Highway 37	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		I-30 At Hwy 37	open
Godfather's Pizza Express Godfather's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	215 East I-30 North Service Road	open
Homestead Creations	Bakery	Bakery	3243 County Rd NW 1019	open
Huddle House	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	533 Interstate 30 W	open
KenSal's CuckooNest Asian Fusion Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	106 N. Houston	open
Lone Star Saloon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	102 E Interstate 30	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	906 Hwy 37	open
Men's Shaper Cooling T-Shirt	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · American	209 E Main St	open
mi casita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	615 Interstate 30 W	open
Milano's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	114 S Kaufman St	open
Mount Vernon Snocone Stand	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	400 TX-37 S	open
Mt Vernon Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	314 TX-37	open
Penelope's Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	405 TX-37	open
Silver Grill & Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bar	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Dessert	615 Interstate 30 Service Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	512 I-30 West	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	824 Texas 37	open
Steve-O's Pizza and Pub	Bar · Casual dining	Pizza	114 Houston St	open
Sweet Home Texas Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	100 Houston St N	open
Taco Casa TravelCenters-TA-Petro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	220 I-30	open
Tag's Hometown Bar & Grill - ML Edwards	Coffee shop · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee · American	103 N Kaufman St	open
Texas BBQ Corral	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	201 SE Acc Rd	open
The Bull Pen Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Cajun, Creole, Southern	114 E Main St	open
The Hangout with Nutrition	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	409 S State Highway 37	open
The Loading Dock	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	201 Dallas St	open
The Purple Tiger	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	327 TX-37	open
The Texas Chophouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	102 E Main St	open
Trey-Deuce Domino Saloon	Bar		4450 County Road SW 3010	open
Dukes Taco I30 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		300 SE Access Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	12	11	4	6	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	13	12	4	7	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	11	10	2	6	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	10	8	—	7	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	11	10	1	9	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	9	2	7	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	11	3	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	13	11	3	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	3	6	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	13	11	4	5	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	12	11	4	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	11	10	4	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	9	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	13	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	13	7	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	14	7	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 75457. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.