BMIE Market 75474

Hunt County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,671 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,300 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±415 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,882 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,721 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$64,103 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,718 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,149 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±131 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$191,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,410 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	105.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 75474
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-21.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+125.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+63.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 12–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	40 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 75474. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.1	62	40%	+24.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.9	61	35%	+21.3
Market Momentum Score	40.4	40	25%	+10.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,671	79	40%	+31.7
Median household income (ACS)	64,103	37	40%	+14.9
Households (ACS)	6,056	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	35%	+19.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.2	71	25%	+17.9
Population (ACS)	17,671	79	20%	+15.9
Median household income (ACS)	64,103	37	20%	+7.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-21.7	12	50%	+6.1
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	30%	+16.9
20-year restaurant growth	125	87	20%	+17.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (58)

By cuisine

Mexican 12 · American 11 · Burgers 6 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · Latin American (other) 4 · Pizza 4 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Quick service 16 · Bar 8 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Agaveros Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8793 TX-34	open
Big Texas Cafe	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	123 W Main St	open
Billy's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	300 TX-276	open
BrewBirds	Bar · Casual dining		109 W Main St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	8909 TX-34	open
Chalo Lalo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican		open
Chow Camp	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1052 TX-276	open
CJ's Cajun Seasoning	Quick service		122 Cagle	open
Classic Donut Co	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	521 TX-34	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8715 Hwy 34 S 8715 Hwy 34 S	open
Dales Old Fashions Hamburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	501 E TX-276	open
Deja Brew Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	111 Main St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	723 E. Quinlan Pkwy Suite B	open
Doughnut Shaved Ice	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	8636 TX-34	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		8715 Hwy 34 S	open
El Taco Reyes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8791 FM 751	open
Encantos ice cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	8676 FM 751	open
Fat Katz Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	1433 TX-276	open
Frank's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1523 E Quinlan Pkwy	open
GILLIGANS BAR, West Tawakoni TX	Bar		1425 E State Highway 276	open
God's Country Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1734 E Quinlan Pkwy	open
Hong Kong Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1119 E Quinlan Pkwy	open
Hwy 34 - Quinlan Whataburger	Quick service		8821 South Hwy 34	open
It's Mama's Family Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	2383 E Quinlan Pkwy	open
Jalapenos Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	720 E Quinlan Pkwy	open
Jefe's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1201 E Quinlan Pkwy	open
Just Pie Too	Bakery	Bakery	108 W Main St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	525 Highway 276	open
Ladyhawk QTX	Bar		8806 FM 751	open
Las Morenas Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1119 E Quinlan Pkwy Suite #100	open
Linda's Nook	Bar		1553 TX-276	open
Little Caesars Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1101 E Quinlan Pkwy	open
Lone star wings & sports bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		8721 FM 751 Ste 200	open
Luigi's Italian Cafe Luigi's Italian Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Italian · Coffee	611 E Quinlan Pkwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8840 Hwy 34 South	open
MI TACO	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1662 E Quinlan Pkwy	open
Oasis Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1201 E Quinlan Pkwy	open
Pinson Pub	Bar · Quick service		7266 CR-2532	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8755 TX-34	open
Pizza Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1119 E Quinlan Pkwy	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	517 State Highway 34 S	open
Ranchero's Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1941 TX-276	open
Sam's Southern Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3381 STATE HWY 276 W	open
Silvia's Autentica Comida Mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	9065 FM 751	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	610 Highway 276 E	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	610 Highway 276 W	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	610 Highway 276 W	open
Soulmans Bar-B-Que Soulman's Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	8962 TX-34	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	8852 S State Hwy 34	open
Strong Tower_Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	9001 South TX-34	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1523 E Quinlan Pkwy	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8801 Highway 34 South	open
Sugar Barn Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	5950 S FM-36	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	614 E. Quinlan Parkway	open
Taqueria Taxco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3381 Hwy 276 W	open
Thai N Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Sushi · Japanese	8637 FM 751	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	8821 South Hwy 34	open
Zombie Garage Grill and Drink Lab	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2855 E Quinlan Pkwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	16	14	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	20	18	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	21	18	10	6	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	18	16	9	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	13	11	4	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	14	12	7	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	15	13	8	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	10	8	4	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	13	10	6	3	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	16	12	7	3	2	4	NAICS2002
2006	13	11	5	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	20	19	10	8	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	18	16	7	8	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	18	16	9	6	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	16	13	6	6	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	18	16	6	8	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	18	16	6	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	18	16	6	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	19	16	7	8	1	3	NAICS2012
2015	23	20	9	10	1	3	NAICS2012
2016	22	20	9	10	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	22	19	7	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	23	7	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	19	5	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	15	3	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	16	3	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	17	4	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	18	5	12	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 75474. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.