BMIE Market 75569

Bowie County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,523 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±306 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,408 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±234 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,874 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,245 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$55,884 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,376 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$895 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±154 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$170,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±61,015 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 75569
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+400.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+900.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 6–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.23) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 75569. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.23, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	42.2	42	40%	+16.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48.4	48	35%	+16.9
Market Momentum Score	83.4	83	25%	+20.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,523	55	40%	+22.0
Median household income (ACS)	55,884	23	40%	+9.1
Households (ACS)	1,408	55	20%	+11.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	42.9	78	35%	+27.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	28.4	22	25%	+5.5
Population (ACS)	3,523	55	20%	+11.0
Median household income (ACS)	55,884	23	20%	+4.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	42.9	78	30%	+23.5
20-year restaurant growth	400	98	20%	+19.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 6 · Burgers 4 · Mexican 3 · BBQ 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
30 Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	254 E New Boston Rd	open
Big Jake's Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	300 E New Boston Rd Ste A	open
Blue Bayou Catfish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	240 E New Boston Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1955 N Kings Highway Nash Travel Center	open
El Parian \| Mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	1310 New Boston Rd	open
Fuzzy's Taco Shop Fuzzy's Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1955 N Kings Hwy	open
Golden Chick Golden Chick	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1943 N Kings Hwy	open
La Chula - Mexican Food Trailer	Food truck	Mexican	1431 N Kings Hwy	open
Local Habit	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	330 E New Boston Rd	open
R&l Enterprises Of Hot Springs, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 Slaton Dr	open
Roux-ga-roux Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	240 E New Boston Rd	open
Smokey Joe BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)		300 E New Boston Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1792 North Kings Highway	open
Steak 'n Shake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1943 N Kings Hwy	open
Tasty Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	1443 N Kings Hwy	open
TCBY Burger King	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers · American	602 N Kings Hwy	open
Texas Best Smokehouse Nash Texas Best Smokehouse Longview	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1955 N Kings Hwy	open
Texas Chuck Wagon	Casual dining	American	1200 N Kings Hwy	open
The Pully Bone	Restaurant (service type not stated)		240 E New Boston Rd	open
Fiesta House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1310 E New Boston Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	5	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	8	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	10	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 75569. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
75501	4.9 mi	52	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.