BMIE Market 75706

Smith County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,560 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,478 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,179 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±402 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,771 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,199 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$61,687 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,346 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$973 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±102 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$135,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,543 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	75.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 75706
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-28.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 3–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 75706. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	54.7	55	40%	+21.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.6	56	35%	+19.5
Market Momentum Score	19.9	20	25%	+5.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,560	70	40%	+28.0
Median household income (ACS)	61,687	33	40%	+13.1
Households (ACS)	3,179	68	20%	+13.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.2	91	25%	+22.7
Population (ACS)	9,560	70	20%	+14.0
Median household income (ACS)	61,687	33	20%	+6.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	50%	+7.3
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	-28.6	10	20%	+2.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (29)

By cuisine

American 5 · Burgers 4 · Mexican 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Dessert 3 · Coffee 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Italian 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Quick service 8 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
American Legion American Legion Baseball	Bar		1003 County Road 3180	open
Autentico	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11200 County Road 35	open
Blessed Hands BBQ and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10981 US Highway 69 N	open
Bodacious Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	13069 FM-14	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	13816 Highway 69 N	open
Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	13821 US Highway 69 N	open
Fulmer Candy Company	Dessert	Dessert	3392 FM 346	open
Hermes Ramos MFT Sales Rep.	Food truck		maint\n	open
Hwy 69 & I-20 Whataburger	Quick service		13341 I-20 W	open
Jucys Hamburgers Jucys Hamburgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	8403 Declaration Rdg	open
Kiepersol Estates Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom		13387 US Highway 69 N	open
Kool Beanz	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	11613 US Highway 69 N	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10449 US-69	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	638 East Northeast Loop 323	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	12881 Fm 14	open
Olivia’s Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	407 E Northeast Loop 323	open
Panda Express	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	8404 Military Dr	open
Pasados Lindale Texas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex		open
Pasteleria Ilusion	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	11529 W First Ave	open
Rockhouse Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers		open
Soccer Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	13156 County Rd 3140	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	13815 US Hwy 69 N	open
Subway Sbarro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Pizza · Italian	12810 FM 14	open
Swan Donut	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert		open
Taco Shop Tyler	Restaurant (service type not stated)		407 E NE Loo	open
Taqueria La Fondita en el Bazaar Hwy 69	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	10671 US Highway 69 N	open
Tyler Travel Center	Restaurant (service type not stated)		407 E Northeast Loop 323	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	13341 I-20	open
The 69 Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10591 US Highway 69 N	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	9	5	4	1	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	7	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	4	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	6	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	6	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	6	5	1	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	5	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	5	4	1	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	6	1	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	5	1	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	6	5	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	6	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	4	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	6	6	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	5	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 75706. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.