BMIE Market 75757

Cherokee County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,328 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,262 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,357 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±446 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,022 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,438 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$91,165 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,695 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,215 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±211 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$275,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±45,441 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	86.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 75757
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 8–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.14) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	43 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 75757. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.14, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.1	75	40%	+30.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.4	63	35%	+22.2
Market Momentum Score	43.4	43	25%	+10.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,328	76	40%	+30.4
Median household income (ACS)	91,165	74	40%	+29.7
Households (ACS)	5,357	75	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.0	84	25%	+21.1
Population (ACS)	14,328	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	91,165	74	20%	+14.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	42.9	60	20%	+12.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

American 7 · Burgers 5 · Mexican 4 · Coffee 3 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Quick service 9 · Bar 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aztec Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	475 E Main St	open
Benito's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	475 E Main St Ste b	open
Bullard Donut Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	105 S Houston St	open
Cherry on Top BTX Cherry On Top	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	207 W Main St	open
Coffee Around The Corner	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	202-B W Main St	open
Cosina Mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	51397 U.S. Hwy 69 S	open
Cotton Belt Vintage Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	401 W Main St	open
Crawfish Barn	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14420 FM 346 W	open
Dingers Field Bar And Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		21781 CR-173	open
Dixie Wine Co.	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Happy Donuts Bullard Happy Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	213 W Main St	open
Hidden Gardens Nursery & Tea	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	967 FM 2493	open
Hondo and Shortys Burger Place	Quick service	Burgers · American	117 N Phillips St	open
Hot Dog Hero	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	475 E Main St	open
HWY 69 & 3801 Whataburger	Quick service		651 S Dr M Roper Pkwy	open
Kickerz Coffee & Cafe	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	14420 Farm to Market Rd 346	open
Legends Burger Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	117 N Phillips St	open
Lost Sheep Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	525 E Main St	open
Major League Snowballs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	2241 FM-346	open
McDonald's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	407 Almarion St	open
Milano's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	151 S Dr M Roper Pkwy Ste 1100	open
Milanos Pizza Bullard	Bar	Pizza	151 s dr m roper pkwy ste 1100	open
Mona's Makery	Bakery · Casual dining · Bar	Bakery	405 Lynch Dr	open
Moody Family Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		201 W Main St	open
Pit Stop Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	51635 U.S. Hwy 69 S	open
Reo's Snow Cones	Dessert			open
Ribmasters - Bullard	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	312 N Houston St # 5116	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	290 Doctor M Roper Parkway North	open
Sonic Drive-In Bullard, TX Sonic Summer Nights	Quick service	Burgers · American	290 Park Ln	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	151 Hwy 69 N. Ste 1300	open
Taco El Conquistador	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	51825 US-69	open
Tacos El Güero Gil	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	200 Co Rd 3801	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	651 S Dr M Roper Pkwy	open
Texas Wedge Grillhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6212 County Road 152 W	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	4	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	9	9	3	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	8	3	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	10	3	3	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	11	6	2	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	2	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	10	6	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	6	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	8	4	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	13	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	8	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	9	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	12	3	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	11	3	4	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	10	—	5	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 75757. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.