BMIE Market 75771

Smith County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,238 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,578 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,524 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±551 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,361 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,564 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$93,462 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,962 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,344 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±84 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$301,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,359 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	146.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 75771
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+14.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+29.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+82.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+138.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 25–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.11) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 75771. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.11, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.6	80	40%	+31.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.0	70	35%	+24.5
Market Momentum Score	73.1	73	25%	+18.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,238	82	40%	+32.9
Median household income (ACS)	93,462	76	40%	+30.5
Households (ACS)	7,524	80	20%	+16.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	29.2	71	35%	+24.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.6	54	25%	+13.6
Population (ACS)	21,238	82	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	93,462	76	20%	+15.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	14.8	73	50%	+36.5
10-year restaurant growth	29.2	71	30%	+21.2
20-year restaurant growth	82.4	78	20%	+15.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (80)

By cuisine

American 15 · Bakery 10 · Coffee 10 · Mexican 8 · Dessert 7 · Chicken / wings 6 · Burgers 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Asian 4 · Italian 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Quick service 21 · Bakery 11 · Dessert 11 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 9 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 7 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Buffet 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Anchorage Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	15862 TX-110	open
Brisket Love Barbecue & Icehouse	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	15338 FM 849	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3404 S Main St	open
Camp Getaway at Hideaway	Bar · Quick service · Casual dining		1714 Leisure Ln	open
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18562 Fm 14	open
Chicken Express Chicken Express	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	2204 S Main St	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3210 S Main St	open
Cinco De Mayo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2610 S Main St	open
Cole's Backyard Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3405 S Main St	open
Colin Street Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	Interstate 20, Lindale, TX 75771	open
Collin Street Bakery Collin Street Bakery	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	17044 Interstate 20 W	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	310 S Main St	open
Doc's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	607 S Main St	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	2807 S Main St suite 100 ste 100	open
Dong & Chen Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3222 S Main St Ste 150	open
Donut Palace	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	116 N Main St	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		310 S Main St	open
Duffy’s Bar & Grill, Lindale, TX	Casual dining · Bar	Cajun, Creole, Southern		open
Eastern Buffet	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	3222 S Main St	open
Grammy’s Happy Oven	Dessert	Dessert	GV	open
Happy Doughnuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	906 S Main St	open
Holey Plumbing Co Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19391 US Highway 69 N	open
Hwy 69 - Lindale Whataburger	Quick service		311 South Main Street	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	3408 S Main St	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3210 S Main St	open
Italian Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	2701 S Main St	open
Juanita's Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	3318 S Main St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings		open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3222 South Main Street Suite B	open
La Tiendita Queretana	Dessert	Mexican	108 N Main St	open
LaCascio's Scratch Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	75 Miranda Lambert Way	open
Leo's Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	2808 S Main St	open
Lindale Candy Company	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	113 W Hubbard St	open
Lindale Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	2304 S Main St	open
Lindale Landing	Casual dining	American	15338 FM 849	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	318 S Main St	open
Long John Silver's	Quick service		3222 S Main St Ste B	open
Love & War In Texas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American · BBQ	114 E North St	open
Mario’s Asian Grill - Lindale, Tx	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	2551 S Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3511 S Main St	open
Mrs. Fields South Main	Bakery	Bakery	318 S Main St	open
Mymy’s Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza		open
Paradise Vapor	Bar		3222 S Main St	open
Pardon My Cheesesteak	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3408 S Main St	open
Pettys Steak and Catfish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	309 N Main St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	3222 S Main St	open
Pop's Honey Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	802 N Main St	open
Posados Posados Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	3201 S Main St	open
Potter's Gourmet Popcorn	Other · Dessert	Dessert	305 E Hubbard St Ste B	open
Red 55 Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		114 E North St	open
Roots & Roads Coffee & Mentoring	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	215 W Margaret St	open
Roots Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	75 Miranda Lambert Way	open
S Main St Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	412 S. Main St.	open
Schlotzsky's Schlotzsky's	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	2805 S Main St Suite 275	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	412 S Main St	open
Seeber FourAcre Farm	Bakery	Bakery	19412 CR-481	open
Six T's Restaurant Group, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		607 S Main St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	510 S. Main	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3214 South Main Street	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	521 S Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	14098 FM 849	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	105 Centennial Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3401 South Main Street	open
Taqueria El Lugar In Lindale	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1420 S Main St	open
TCBY	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	318 S Main St	open
The B Birria & Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Burgers	413 S Main St	open
The Cake Box	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	11277 FM-16 W	open
The Catch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2551 S Main St	open
The Chaparral Club	Bar		21080 Interstate 20 W	open
The Hub	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2401 S Main St	open
The Journey Coffee House	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	14877 Van Hwy	open
Valle Della Pace Vineyards & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		17840 State Highway 110 N	open
Valle Della Pace Vineyards and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		17840 State Highway 110 N	open
Vienmex - Asian Fusion Street Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sandwiches · Mexican	75 Miranda Lambert Way Ste 1	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	105 Centennial Blvd	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	311 South Main Street	open
Wing Dingers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	75 Miranda Lambert Way Ste 8	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	2553 S Main St Bldg D	open
YWAM Substation	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	20131 FM Rd 16	open
T-mac Holdings, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		107 W South St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	22	22	13	8	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	16	16	6	8	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	14	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	14	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	17	17	5	11	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	16	16	5	10	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	19	18	6	10	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	22	22	8	12	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	22	22	10	9	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	21	21	8	8	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	20	20	9	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	21	21	7	10	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	28	28	12	12	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	22	22	9	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	24	24	11	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	30	29	14	13	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	29	28	12	14	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	32	31	14	15	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	27	26	10	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	28	27	10	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	27	26	10	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	26	11	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	29	29	11	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	28	10	16	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	32	31	10	19	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 75771. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.