BMIE Market 75862

Trinity County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,968 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±511 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,386 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±319 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,091 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,313 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$52,017 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,705 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	51.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$877 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±70 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$124,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,113 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	241.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 75862
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+114.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 75862. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	49.7	50	40%	+19.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.3	61	35%	+21.5
Market Momentum Score	83.7	84	25%	+20.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,968	71	40%	+28.3
Median household income (ACS)	52,017	17	40%	+7.0
Households (ACS)	4,386	72	20%	+14.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	35%	+30.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.1	52	25%	+13.1
Population (ACS)	9,968	71	20%	+14.1
Median household income (ACS)	52,017	17	20%	+3.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	30%	+26.2
20-year restaurant growth	114.3	86	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

Mexican 7 · American 6 · Pizza 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Chicken / wings 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Burgers 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Quick service 10 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 8 · Bakery 3 · Food truck 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Buffet 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
19th Hole Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		100 Westwood Dr W	open
Agavales Mexican restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	110 Brantley St	open
Chicas Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Bakery	109 Robb St	open
Cinco Wingz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	106 Prospect Dr	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	404 S Robb St	open
DeeDee Donuts Trinity/Riverside	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert	426 S Robb St	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		Hwy 19	open
El Rancho Viejo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	828 S Robb St	open
El Rancho Viejo Mexican Grill & Cantina	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	828 S Robb St	open
El Roy Icehouse	Bar		266 Bell's Camp Marina Rd	open
Everybody's County Line Club	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		14454 FM356	open
Faithfully Southern Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea	485 S Railroad St	open
Firehouse Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	110 Brantley St	open
Fisherman’s Pride	Restaurant (service type not stated)		826 S Robb St	open
Joseph's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet	American	200 E Caroline St	open
Kat’s Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings	406 S Robb St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Chicken / wings	607 S Robb	open
Los Panchitos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	718 S Robb St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	505 S Robb St	open
Paps Taps	Casual dining · Bar		8382 FM356	open
Pizza Pro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	110 2nd St	open
Riverway Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		4544 TX-19	open
Romo's Tex Mex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	515 Prospect Dr	open
Saints Past Sports Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	641 S Robb St	open
Simple Simon's Pizza Simple Simon's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	180 S Robb St	open
Simple Simon’s Pizza of Trinity Simple Simon’s Pizza of Farmington	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	180 S Robb St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	505 S. Robb	open
Spitfire Watermelon	Food truck		186 S Robb St	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	104 S Robb St	open
Taqueria San Luis	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	103 S Robb St	open
The Back Porch Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2140 FM356	open
Tooty Fruity Snowcones	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Juice / smoothies · Bakery	201 W Caroline St	open
TraxTacos	Quick service · Food truck	Mexican	200 E Caroline St	open
Trinity Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	114 S Robb St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	8	7	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	8	6	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	9	9	6	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	14	10	2	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	11	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	16	8	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	14	5	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	15	5	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 75862. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.