BMIE Market 76014

Tarrant County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	32,818 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,698 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,684 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±466 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	34,072 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,790 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$60,333 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,119 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	31.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,613 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±52 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$234,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 76014
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+36.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+62.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+116.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 27–33) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.85) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	86 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 76014. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.85, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.6	66	40%	+26.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74.6	75	35%	+26.1
Market Momentum Score	85.7	86	25%	+21.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	32,818	91	40%	+36.2
Median household income (ACS)	60,333	30	40%	+12.0
Households (ACS)	10,684	87	20%	+17.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	62.5	87	35%	+30.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.9	81	25%	+20.2
Population (ACS)	32,818	91	20%	+18.1
Median household income (ACS)	60,333	30	20%	+6.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	36.8	87	50%	+43.3
10-year restaurant growth	62.5	87	30%	+26.0
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

American 8 · Mexican 8 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Dessert 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Asian 3 · Coffee 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Seafood 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Vietnamese 2 · African 1 · Breakfast 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Quick service 11 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 5 · Bar 5 · Dessert 4 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
5 O'clock Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	3410 S Collins St #130	open
ABC Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2420 E Arkansas Ln	open
Airborne	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1502 Nandina Dr	open
Allhad Abc Ent., Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2420 E Arkansas Ln Ste 216	open
Arkansas Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	2500 E Arkansas Ln	open
Cafe CHAT	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2442 S Collins St # 100	open
Chapps Burgers Chapps Burgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	2596 E Arkansas Ln	open
China One China One	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2501 E Mayfield Rd	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2302 S. Collins Street	open
Cicis Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2596 E Arkansas Ln	open
Crispy's Great Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Seafood	2440 E Arkansas Ln	open
Crown cafe	Café · Casual dining	Coffee · American · African	2501 E Mayfield Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	2501 B E Mayfield	open
Donut Palace	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	2417 S Collins St	open
Donut Palace The Donut Palace San Diego TX	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	2501 E Mayfield Rd	open
Egg Bar Brunch & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Breakfast	457 E Interstate 20 #121	open
El Tako Y Mas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4121 S Collins St	open
Hwy 360 & Mayfield Whataburger	Quick service		3360 S WATSON RD	open
I20 & Collins Whataburger	Quick service		4120 S COLLINS ST	open
Jimmy's Jungle Burger	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Burgers · American	3415 S Collins St Ste 113	open
Kandys Kajun Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	Hwy 360, E Arkansas Ln	open
King Crab House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	2410 E Arkansas Ln	open
Krispy catch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2596 E Arkansas Ln	open
Mi mecánico "El Punteño"	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	601 Mullins Dr	open
One Stop Smoke Shop	Bar		3410 S Collins St	open
Papasito's Cantina	Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex		open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	3400 S Watson Rd Suite 114 Suite 114	open
Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4050 S Collins Arlington	open
QUÁN NGON Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	2404 S Collins St	open
Sharks fish & chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	2300 S Collins St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4050 S Collins St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2501 E Mayfield Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2440 S Collins Suite 132	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2501 E Mayfield Suite 124	open
Taco Casa Taco Casa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4000 S Collins St	open
Tacos Mexico Tacos Mexico Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2596 E Arkansas Ln #150	open
Taqueria Garcia's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4121 S Collins St	open
Taqueria Saltillo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2300 S Collins St	open
The BNK Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	2400 E Arkansas Ln	open
The Burger Wingdom	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	457 E Interstate 20 #121	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	4120 S COLLINS ST	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3360 S WATSON RD	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	16	16	3	12	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	15	15	2	12	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	15	15	3	11	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	15	14	1	12	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	16	16	1	13	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	13	13	1	10	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	15	14	3	9	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	13	13	2	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	18	18	5	9	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	15	15	3	9	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	16	16	4	9	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	17	16	4	9	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	17	16	4	9	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	17	16	4	9	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	18	16	4	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	19	16	5	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	18	14	4	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	16	14	3	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	20	18	4	11	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	18	16	4	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	21	19	6	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	20	7	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	22	9	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	20	8	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	24	10	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	26	11	12	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 76014. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
76018	2.1 mi	82	2023
76010	2.1 mi	116	2023
76015	2.9 mi	82	2023
75052	3.8 mi	153	2023
76011	4.1 mi	102	2023
76013	4.4 mi	85	2023
76002	4.9 mi	25	2023
76017	4.9 mi	91	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.