BMIE Market 76088

Parker County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,290 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,336 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±388 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,499 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,732 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$104,038 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,751 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,437 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±134 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$408,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,238 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	161.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 76088
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 3–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.47) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	86 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	36 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 76088. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.47, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.2	79	40%	+31.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85.6	86	35%	+30.0
Market Momentum Score	35.6	36	25%	+8.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,290	77	40%	+30.8
Median household income (ACS)	104,038	83	40%	+33.4
Households (ACS)	5,336	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	2.0	99	25%	+24.8
Population (ACS)	15,290	77	20%	+15.4
Median household income (ACS)	104,038	83	20%	+16.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-25	11	50%	+5.4
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (18)

By cuisine

Bakery 3 · American 2 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Coffee 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Bakery 3 · Quick service 2 · Bar 1 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Blind Horse Saloon	Bar		1886 Mineral Wells Hwy	open
Cutting Capital Fellowship Childcare	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7500 W Interstate 20	open
Farm to Market by Anderson	Bakery	Bakery	2702 FM 113	open
Funky Munky Shaved Ice Peaster Funky Munky Shaved Ice Weatherford	Dessert		8801 FM 920	open
Garner Store & Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	2305 FM 113	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7458 I 20	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6233 Fm 920	open
Mallory Lorene’s	Bakery · Food truck	Bakery	337 Threatt Ln	open
MrJims.Pizza Mr. Jim's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6225 FM 920	open
Outlaw Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3101 Ranger Hwy	open
Peaster Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6239 FM 920	open
Rodeo Dough Cookie Co.	Bakery	Bakery	5603 New Authon Rd	open
Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5451 FM 920	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2082 Mineral Wells Hwy	open
Tailgaters BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2206 FM 920	open
TamalExpress	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	6151 Mineral Wells Hwy	open
Twisted Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	6225 FM 920	open
Weatherford City Limits	Restaurant (service type not stated)		801 Old Garner Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	2	2	1	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	2	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	4	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	6	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	5	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 76088. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.