BMIE Market 76225

Wise County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,487 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±589 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,419 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±233 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,156 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,330 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,336 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,893 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$991 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$305,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±95,409 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	105.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	1 2016 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2016 detail (NAICS2012) · by USPS ZIP 76225
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 2011 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 2006 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2021	2 (range 0–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2006–2016 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.04) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	43 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	4 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 76225. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2006–2016, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.04, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	59.9	60	40%	+24.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50.5	50	35%	+17.7
Market Momentum Score	4.3	4	25%	+1.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,487	55	40%	+21.9
Median household income (ACS)	84,336	67	40%	+26.9
Households (ACS)	1,419	55	20%	+11.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	35%	+1.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	2.9	98	25%	+24.4
Population (ACS)	3,487	55	20%	+10.9
Median household income (ACS)	84,336	67	20%	+13.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 4 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-50	4	50%	+2.0
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	30%	+1.4
20-year restaurant growth	-50	4	20%	+0.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

American 6 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Bar 1 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Brushy Creek Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		572 County Road 2798	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	8417 US-287	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service		8417 N. US Hwy 287	open
Cowboy cafe	Café	Coffee · American	5985 N US Highway 287	open
Downtown Donuts in alvord	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	100 E Franklin St	open
Ellie Mae's Drinks & Snacks	Food truck		106 N O'Neil	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	812 West State Street	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5985 N US Highway 287	open
Kt's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Marker Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		1484 County Road 2585	open
Michael Hill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 County Road 2571	open
Oak Grove Ranch	Bakery	Bakery	206 School Oaks Rd	open
Punjabi Dhaba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	4566 US-287	open
Quilt-n-cabin	Restaurant (service type not stated)		658 School Oaks Rd	open
SAS The Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		5985 N US Highway 287	open
Scoop Dawg Ice Cream Parlor and eatery	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	307 W Franklin St	open
Sno Worries Shaved Ice	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	101 E Franklin St	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches	806 West State St.	open
The Grilled Biscuit Ca	Casual dining · Bar	American	8879 N US Highway 287	open
Willett’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	107 W Franklin St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 76225. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.