BMIE Market 76226

Denton County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	43,587 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,859 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,046 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±861 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,419 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,352 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$180,982 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,829 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,090 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±252 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$606,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	49.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 76226
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+58.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+375.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+1,800.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+3,700.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	53 (range 51–55) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +3.0 per year, r² 1.00) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	95 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	96 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	93 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	96 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 76226. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +3.0 restaurants per year, r² 1.00, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 95 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	95.9	96	40%	+38.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	92.9	93	35%	+32.5
Market Momentum Score	95.9	96	25%	+24.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 96 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	43,587	95	40%	+38.1
Median household income (ACS)	180,982	98	40%	+39.3
Households (ACS)	14,046	92	20%	+18.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	375	100	35%	+34.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.7	77	25%	+19.3
Population (ACS)	43,587	95	20%	+19.1
Median household income (ACS)	180,982	98	20%	+19.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 96 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	58.3	92	50%	+46.1
10-year restaurant growth	375	100	30%	+29.9
20-year restaurant growth	1,800	100	20%	+20.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (81)

By cuisine

American 15 · Coffee 11 · Dessert 10 · Bakery 9 · Mexican 6 · Pizza 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · BBQ 4 · Italian 4 · Burgers 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Indian 2 · French 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Quick service 14 · Dessert 13 · Bakery 10 · Coffee shop 9 · Bar 7 · Café 7 · Casual dining 4 · Food truck 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
407 BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	831 FM 407 W	open
Andy's Frozen Custard Andy's Frozen Custard	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	3800 FM 407	open
Argyle Baking Company	Bakery	Bakery	409 US-377 S	open
Bahama Buck's - Argyle Bahama Buck's	Dessert	Dessert	8131 Gateway Dr	open
Believe Meadery	Winery / distillery / taproom		308 FM1830, Ste 8b	open
Bella Italia Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	101 Plaza Pl #500	open
Branded Bowls	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	125 FM 407 Ste 100	open
Brooklyn Dawgs Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	1842 FM 407	open
Bumbershoot Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	425 US-377 SOUTH	open
Cachette Bistro Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	144 Old Town Blvd N #1	open
Cactus Canyon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	700 FM 407	open
Calles de Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	3501 FM 407 Ste. 700	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1218 FM 407 E	open
Chuy's Chuy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1061 Market Way	open
Crave Cookies Crave Cookies Maumee	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	101 Plaza Pl Ste 100	open
Cupcake Cutie Bakeshop	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1413 5th St	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3000 Fm 407 E Ste 100	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	250 Us 377	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	3000 E Fm407 Suite 200	open
Donut Paradise	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	100 Country Club Rd #109	open
Dumont Creamery & Cafe - North Lake Dumont	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1633 Robson Ranch Rd	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3901 FM 407	open
Earl and Isabella's Taverna	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	427 US-377	open
Extreme Cuisine Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	2126 Hamilton Dr	open
Farmhouse Coffee & Treasures	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1300 Homestead Way	open
Fatburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3701 FM 407, Ste 600	open
Food Adventure Memories	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		2165 Fairway Acres Dr	open
Function Coffee Co	Coffee shop	Coffee	101 Plaza Pl	open
Fuzzy's Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	421 US Highway 377	open
Giovanni's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	100 Country Club Rd	open
Gnome Cones	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	421 US-377 S	open
GOATS Arena - Northlake GOATS Arena Sports Bar	Bar		1633 Robson Ranch Rd	open
Golden Egg Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	2650 FM 407 #165	open
Grapes To Wine	Bar		2648 FM 407 E	open
Gyro & Grill Mediterranean	Casual dining · Bar	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	1242 FM 407	open
Hair By Shea	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2024 E Hickory Hill Rd	open
Heavenly Taylored Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	422 Ben Boyd Rd	open
Hyderabad Junction Northlake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	6000 Cleveland Gibbs Rd , Suite 300	open
I Scream	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	1105 17th St	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1050 Market Wy Suite 130	open
Jimmy John's	Quick service		1248 FM 407, Unit 250	open
Kimzey's Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	429 US Highway 377	open
Little Joe's Farmstead	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	401 US-377	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Quick service		6000 Cleveland Gibbs Rd, Ste 200	open
Marty B's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Steakhouse · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2664 FM 407	open
Marty B's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2656 FM 407	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1226 Fm 407	open
Mo' Bettahs Hawaiian Style Food Mo' Bettahs Hawaiian Style Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	1228 FM 407 W, Suite 130	open
Myler Tap	Bar		660 Griffin St	open
Northlake Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
One Fusion - Indian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	8131 Gateway Dr	open
Palermo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2652 FM 407 E	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1248 FM 407 Denton	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7040 Justin Rd	open
Pleion Provisions Limited Liability Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2650 Fm 407 E Ste 165	open
Quandary Kitchen & Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	429 US-377	open
Snappy Snow - North Texas' Premier Shaved Ice & Concession Vendor	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts		open
Snooty Pig Cafe Snooty Pig	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	100 Country Club Rd #118	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7060 Justin Rd	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		104 Frenchtown Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1046 Market Way, Tom Thumb Argyle 12	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	215 Stella St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3400 FM-407 E	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	100 Country Club Rd Ste 105	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2648 Fm 407 E Ste 100	open
Swig Swig	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		3802 FM 407	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	8125 Gateway Dr	open
Taco Champ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	USPS, 440 Highway 377 N	open
Tartan Treats Bakery	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee		open
Tea Xetera	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	101 Plaza Pl	open
Tequila Ranch Cocina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1485 Commons Cir Ste 400	open
Terry's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	3600 FM 407	open
The Barrel	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2648 FM 407	open
The Bartonville Store	Bar	American	96 McMakin Rd	open
The Bartonville Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		2652 FM 407 Ste #155	open
The Jenny Layne Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	815 Stonecrest Rd	open
Tokyo Samurai Sushi Hibachi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3600 FM 407 #100	open
Violet's Bagels	Bakery	Bakery	1351 Powell Rd	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	3101 FM 407 E	open
Wingstop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3701 FM 407	open
Jm Lawncare & Sprinkler	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11835 Hilltop Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	2	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	5	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	7	4	1	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	9	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	9	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	10	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	14	12	7	2	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	16	14	6	3	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	22	16	7	5	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	25	20	7	6	7	—	NAICS2017
2018	30	24	8	7	9	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	26	10	7	9	—	NAICS2017
2020	33	28	11	10	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	37	32	11	14	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	40	35	10	17	8	—	NAICS2022
2023	42	38	12	17	9	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 76226. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.