BMIE Market 76247

Denton County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,726 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,731 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,012 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±553 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,098 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,498 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$124,383 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,622 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,076 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±175 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$397,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,602 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	74.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 76247
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+83.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+1,000.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,000.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 18–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	95 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 76247. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.7	86	40%	+34.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	85.0	85	35%	+29.8
Market Momentum Score	94.6	95	25%	+23.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,726	83	40%	+33.1
Median household income (ACS)	124,383	92	40%	+36.7
Households (ACS)	7,012	79	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.1	72	25%	+17.9
Population (ACS)	21,726	83	20%	+16.6
Median household income (ACS)	124,383	92	20%	+18.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 95 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	83.3	94	50%	+47.1
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	1,000	100	20%	+19.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (61)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 9 · Dessert 8 · Pizza 8 · Mexican 6 · BBQ 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Bakery 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Caribbean 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Dessert 10 · Food truck 10 · Quick service 10 · Café 7 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Bakery 4 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
8536 - Nekter Juice Bar Nékter Juice Bar	Quick service		8048 Cleveland Gibbs Rd, Building 5	open
Chicken Express Chicken Express	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	800 FM156	open
ChixnWangz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	8150 Thompson Rd	open
CHOW Food Truck	Food truck	American	8150 Thompson Rd	open
Coffee Cabana of Texas	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	17001 G Cardinas Rd	open
Coffee Cabana, TX	Coffee shop	Coffee	8102 Thompson Rd	open
Country Diner & Tea Room	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	Just in Time Antique Mall, 15306 Highway 114	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	217 Fm 156 Suite B	open
Doug's Dive	Bar · Casual dining		9686 Industrial Rd	open
El Rincon Del Taco	Food truck	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	2 Gaffield Rd	open
El Villa Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	8150 Thompson Rd	open
Escape Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	501 N F M 156	open
Everett and Elaine	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	8356 Thompson Rd	open
Extra Ice	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	8356 Thompson Rd	open
Flying High Pizza	Food truck	Pizza · Italian	8150 Thompson Rd	open
Fort Butcher	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		8356 Thompson Rd	open
Gogi Time Korean BBQ	Food truck	Korean · Asian	8150 Thompson Rd	open
Golden Taco	Food truck	Mexican	17001 G Cardinas Rd	open
Grapes to Wine+	Bar		112 W 4th St	open
Higher Grounds	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	201 FM156	open
Hilltop Truck Park	Food truck · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	8150 Thompson Rd	open
Ice Ice Baby	Dessert	Dessert	8150 Thompson Rd	open
Indian Creek Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	8150 Thompson Rd	open
Ipanema Acai	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	8356 Thompson Rd	open
Joe's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	950 S FM 156 Ste 14	open
Joe's Pizza Pasta Subs Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	950 FM156	open
Kahwa Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	14876 FM 156	open
LAS MICHOACANAS ICE CREAM & SNACKS	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican	117 FM 407	open
Lone Star Cooking	Restaurant (service type not stated)		509 Pafford St	open
Lonesome Spur Cafe & Catering	Café	American · Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern	218 FM156	open
Margarita's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	311 FM156	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		1280 Tx-114	open
Mercantile 1887	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	116 W 4th St	open
Mom's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	417 N Sealy Ave	open
MrJims.Pizza Mr. Jim's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	950 FM156	open
Mule Barn Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		218 FM156	open
MyLan Pho&Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1101 N FM-156	open
OLA Taste Box	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	12644 S County Line Rd	open
Outlaw Burgers and BBQ	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · BBQ	111 W 4th St	open
Pa Pa's Sunshine Sno Ball Company	Dessert · Food truck	Dessert	300 N Farm to Market Rd 156	open
Papa Johns Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1236 FM 407, Suite 700	open
Pierce Riverside Glass	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15644 Highway 114	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	790 FM156	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2301 Texan Dr	open
Rabbit Hole Brewing	Brewery / taproom		608 Topeka St	open
Santini's Sweets and Gelato	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	407 N Sealy Ave	open
Smashville Burgers and Tots	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	17001 G Cardinas Rd	open
Smoketerranean Hilltop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · BBQ	8150 Thompson Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	802 South Highway 156	open
Speedway Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	950 FM156 #4	open
StreetSpiceTx	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Middle Eastern · American	8150 Thompson Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	950 S FM 156 Ste 10	open
Subway Restaurants	Quick service		2301 Texan Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	780 FM 156	open
Texas Ice Cream	Dessert · Catering	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	14920 FM156	open
The Argyle Open	Bar		1242 FM-407	open
The Touring Chocolatier	Dessert	Dessert	8356 Thompson Rd	open
The Ultimate Smoker and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	8356 Thompson Rd	open
Touch of Toast	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8150 Thompson Rd	open
Victorian Rose Tea Room	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	100 W 3rd St	open
Zingo's Cove	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	17001 G Cardinas Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	3	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	4	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	8	3	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	9	2	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	11	2	7	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	12	4	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	13	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	12	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	12	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	16	6	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	23	18	6	7	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	22	7	8	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 76247. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.