BMIE Market 76270

Montague County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,826 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±402 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	784 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±173 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,853 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	908 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$73,553 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±42,269 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	51.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	Data source not yet connected
Median home value	$235,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59,185 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	95.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	1 2015 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2015 detail (NAICS2012) · by USPS ZIP 76270
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Projected restaurants, 5 years ahead	Not enough history to project
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Consumer Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 76270. Not enough history for a projection.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.3	47	40%	+25.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.1	64	35%	+29.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,826	43	40%	+17.2
Median household income (ACS)	73,553	53	40%	+21.1
Households (ACS)	784	45	20%	+9.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.5	90	25%	+34.6
Population (ACS)	1,826	43	20%	+13.2
Median household income (ACS)	73,553	53	20%	+16.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (6)

By cuisine

American 4 · BBQ 4 · Bakery 1 · Dessert 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 5 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Dessert 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Jocey's BBQ sunset Texas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	114 TX-511-SPUR	open
Jonesin' 4 Cupcakes	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	2483 Fruitland Rd	open
O G Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		704 Co Rd 1895	open
Rib Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	946 Spur 511	open
Smoke & Time BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	8879 US-287	open
Smokin' Guns BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	10055 N US Highway 287	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2001	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2007	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2014	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 76270. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.