BMIE Market 76531

Hamilton County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,703 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±290 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,632 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±181 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,978 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,591 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$49,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,208 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$894 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±82 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$126,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,612 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	387.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 76531
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+22.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	35 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	34 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 76531. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	40.8	41	40%	+16.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	34.3	34	35%	+12.0
Market Momentum Score	27.6	28	25%	+6.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,703	59	40%	+23.8
Median household income (ACS)	49,100	14	40%	+5.5
Households (ACS)	1,632	58	20%	+11.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	23.4	30	25%	+7.4
Population (ACS)	4,703	59	20%	+11.9
Median household income (ACS)	49,100	14	20%	+2.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-15.4	15	50%	+7.6
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	22.2	47	20%	+9.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (35)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 6 · Burgers 4 · Mexican 4 · BBQ 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Café 5 · Quick service 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Other 2 · Casual dining 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bush's Chicken	Quick service		305 N Rice St	open
Cattle Country Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	813 S Rice St	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	121 E Henry St	open
CMK Cellars	Bar		122 S Bell St	open
Crossfire Steakhouse & Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · American	4007 TX-36	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	820 S Rice St	open
Donut Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	223 N Rice St	open
Doughboys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	320 N Bell St	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		820 S Rice St	open
Dutchman's Hidden Valley	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	3408 US-281	open
El Jardin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	200 N Bell St	open
Ford and Brew	Bar		811 S Rice St	open
Fredas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1204 S Rice St	open
Giovanni's II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	320 N Bell St	open
Gustine City Cafe Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		115 N Rice St	open
Hamburger Hill	Casual dining	American · Burgers	809 N Rice St	open
Kelsey's Street Eats	Café · Food truck	Coffee	100 N Railroad St	open
Makayla’s Kravery Co.	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	402 S Bell St	open
Nita & Glen's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1107 S Rice St	open
Quiznos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Pizza	520 W Main St	open
Red River Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	706 N Rice St	open
Red Wing Dove Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		9112 FM 2005	open
Rosie Jo's	Café	Coffee	520 N Rice St	open
Shiver Shack-Shaved Ice Hamilton, Texas	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	American · Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	next, 1500 S US Highway 281	open
Smoke Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	702 S Rice St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	701 E Main Street	open
Sono Restaurant Portside Wharf	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Japanese	101 S Hercules St	open
Stockyard Cafe in Hamilton, TX	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2525 N US Highway 281	open
Storm's Hamburgers Storm's Drive-In Lampasas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	923 E Main St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	312 N Rice St	open
Taco Loco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1103 S Rice St	open
Taqueria 3 Olveras	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	410 N Bell St	open
The Bistro	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	423 S Rice St	open
The Feed Trough	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2525 N US Highway 281	open
Woody's Hamburgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	201 N Rice St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	10	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	10	9	1	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	10	1	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	12	3	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	10	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	12	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	12	3	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	10	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	11	3	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 76531. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.