BMIE Market 76534

Bell County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,675 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±466 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,031 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±184 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,615 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,077 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,536 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,446 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$625 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±506 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$210,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±49,279 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	87.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	1 2013 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2013 detail (NAICS2012) · by USPS ZIP 76534
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2008 → 2013, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 1998 → 2008, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2018	1 (range 1–1) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 1998–2013 (7 points, +0.0 per year, r² 1.00) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 76534. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 1998–2013, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 1.00, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.2	55	40%	+22.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.8	59	35%	+20.6
Market Momentum Score	39.2	39	25%	+9.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,675	50	40%	+20.1
Median household income (ACS)	80,536	63	40%	+25.1
Households (ACS)	1,031	50	20%	+10.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.7	96	25%	+23.9
Population (ACS)	2,675	50	20%	+10.0
Median household income (ACS)	80,536	63	20%	+12.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 39 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+26.1
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+13.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (13)

By cuisine

American 2 · BBQ 2 · Mexican 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Bar 3 · Food truck 2 · Quick service 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Algo Bello Mexican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	201 S Franklin St	open
Jerry's Place	Bar		13990 State Hwy 95	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	205 N Franklin	open
LI'l Armadillo bar-b-que & more	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	21280 State Hwy 95	open
Next level seafood club	Bar · Quick service	Seafood	3380 Sardis Sta	open
Rolling Snowballs	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts	13550 State Hwy 95	open
Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	301 N Franklin St	open
Stadium 56 Grill & Deli	Food truck · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches · Pizza	24759 State Highway 95	open
Svizzero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	101 S Austin St	open
T.X. BBQ Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	301 S Franklin St	open
Taqueria Sonora	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	305 N Franklin St	open
The 401K Bar & Beach Resort	Bar			open
The Coffee Trough	Coffee shop	Coffee	301 S Franklin St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1998	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2004	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2013	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 76534. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.