BMIE Market 76621

Hill County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,104 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±207 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	403 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±69 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,037 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	456 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$81,932 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,761 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,360 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±132 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$241,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±73,024 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	67.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	1 2003 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2003 detail (NAICS2002) · by USPS ZIP 76621
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 1998 → 2003, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2008	1 (range 1–1) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 1994–2003 (10 points, +0.0 per year, r² 1.00) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Consumer Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 76621. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 1994–2003, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 1.00, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	45.9	46	40%	+24.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.4	59	35%	+27.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,104	34	40%	+13.5
Median household income (ACS)	81,932	65	40%	+25.8
Households (ACS)	403	33	20%	+6.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.1	76	25%	+29.2
Population (ACS)	1,104	34	20%	+10.4
Median household income (ACS)	81,932	65	20%	+19.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (4)

By cuisine

American 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Quick service 2 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 2 · Bakery 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1197 I-35	open
Little Czech Bakery	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches · Latin American (other)	I-35 S	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		1197 Interstate 35	open
STILL SMOKIN BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	212 South Hickory Street	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	1	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	1	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	1	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	1	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	1	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	1	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 76621. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.