BMIE Market 76849

Kimble County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,584 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±253 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,661 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±185 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,944 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,725 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,977 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$734 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±234 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$188,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±41,036 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	809.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 76849
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	63 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 76849. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.7	48	40%	+19.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51.1	51	35%	+17.9
Market Momentum Score	63.5	63	25%	+15.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,584	55	40%	+22.1
Median household income (ACS)	62,977	35	40%	+14.1
Households (ACS)	1,661	58	20%	+11.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	33.5	17	25%	+4.3
Population (ACS)	3,584	55	20%	+11.0
Median household income (ACS)	62,977	35	20%	+7.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.1	66	50%	+33.2
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

American 12 · Coffee 6 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Mexican 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Quick service 7 · Café 6 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Bar 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alex’s Catering	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Bakery	605 Main St	open
Burnard's Pastries	Bakery · Catering	Bakery	365 River Rd	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	2437 N Main St	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	2437 N Main St	open
Church's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2349 North Main Street	open
City Sweets Bakery & Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	1907 Main St	open
Cooper's Bar-B-Q & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2423 N Main St	open
Cowboy Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2341 N Main St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2345 N Main St	open
Donut Palace	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1815 Main St	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		2345 N Main St	open
El Junction burrito & more	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Gloria's Gonzales Cafe	Café · Casual dining	Coffee · American	1106 Main St	open
Hill Country Internet Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2005 Main St	open
Isaack Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1606 Main St	open
Junction Burger Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	1907 Main St	open
Junction Smoothie Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	640 Main St	open
Lum's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2031 N Main St	open
Mauricios taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1101 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2416 N Main St	open
Michael Williams	Café	Coffee	201 Hollis Ln	open
MT Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	184 Dos Rios Dr	open
Piccadilly Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1977 Main St	open
Pizza Junction	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1112 Main St	open
Plumley’s Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2341 N Main St	open
Sdi, Junction, Tx, A Limited Partnership	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2337 N Main St	open
Sky’s Shaved Ice	Dessert		911 Main St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2337 North Main Street	open
Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	115 S Segovia Access Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	2437 N Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2342 N Main St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	1014 Main St	open
Sum Dum Guys Asian American Food Trailer	Food truck	Asian	805 Main St	open
The Honey Bean Coffee and Tea Company	Coffee shop · Food truck · Café	Coffee	1502 Main St	open
The Lone Star Bar	Bar		2005 Main St	open
The Milky Way	Casual dining	American · Burgers	1619 Main St	open
Tia Nena's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2429 N Main St	open
Wenhua Bakery 文华烘培坊	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	5950 KC 320	open
Wickett Brisket	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1040 E State Loop 291	open
Junction Rivers Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		210 N 6th St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	17	14	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	16	14	10	2	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	16	14	10	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	15	13	9	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	16	14	8	5	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	14	12	9	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	14	12	9	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	15	14	12	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	15	14	12	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	16	15	14	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	13	13	10	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	10	8	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	9	7	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	9	9	7	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	10	8	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	8	4	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	12	12	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	11	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	13	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	15	14	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	15	6	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	12	5	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 76849. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.