BMIE Market 77028

Harris County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,109 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,935 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,313 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±606 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,808 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,457 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$38,357 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,154 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	30.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,154 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±128 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$121,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,226 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77028
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-18.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-13.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+62.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+62.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 11–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	26 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77028. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	49.9	50	40%	+20.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44.3	44	35%	+15.5
Market Momentum Score	26.2	26	25%	+6.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,109	81	40%	+32.3
Median household income (ACS)	38,357	5	40%	+2.1
Households (ACS)	6,313	78	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-13.3	17	35%	+5.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.8	85	25%	+21.3
Population (ACS)	19,109	81	20%	+16.1
Median household income (ACS)	38,357	5	20%	+1.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 26 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-18.8	14	50%	+6.9
10-year restaurant growth	-13.3	17	30%	+5.0
20-year restaurant growth	62.5	72	20%	+14.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (55)

By cuisine

Mexican 12 · American 9 · Bakery 5 · Latin American (other) 4 · Burgers 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Seafood 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Dessert 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Korean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Quick service 15 · Bar 9 · Bakery 5 · Food truck 5 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A & K Cake Shop	Bakery	Bakery	6817 Homestead Rd	open
Beck's On Da Go	Bakery	American · Mexican · Bakery	5006 Bennington St	open
Blackout Lounge	Bar		6402 N Wayside Dr	open
Bobby's Fast Food	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	8434 Tidwell Rd	open
Cadillac Lounge	Bar		6020 Eastland St	open
Candy Creation Arrangements	Dessert		7105 Orville St	open
Chicken Plus	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	6210 N Wayside Dr	open
China's Micheladas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining	Juice / smoothies · American	7525 E Houston Rd	open
Church's Chicken	Quick service		9122 Mesa Dr	open
Cilantro's Drive Thru Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7922 Ley Rd	open
Coffee Notes	Quick service		7827 Ethel St Lot B	open
Derrick Whiteside Kennel Club	Bar		7924 Darlington Dr	open
DiGlobal Shipping LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7801 E Houston Rd	open
Dlg Ice Factory	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	7217 Philibert Ln	open
Fanse Treats	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Bakery	8706 Shady Vista Ln	open
Hartz Chicken Buffet Hartz Chicken Buffet	Buffet	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	7590 N Wayside Dr Ste C	open
Jeff's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8312 Mesa Dr	open
Kim's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Korean · Asian	8695 Mesa Dr	open
King of Shawerma	Food truck	Burgers · Mediterranean	6729 Lockwood Dr	open
Kreyol Ya Ya	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern	5006 Bennington St	open
La Cocina de Ama	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		8003 Tidwell Rd	open
La Morenita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	9000 Mesa Dr	open
Le's Fast Food	Quick service	Chinese · Seafood	8617 Mesa Dr	open
Lee's Burger Joint	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	7827 Ethel St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9413 Mesa Dr	open
Loop 610 & Homestead Whataburger	Quick service		7001 NORTH LOOP E	open
Margie's Place	Bar		8314 Ley Rd	open
Mesa Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	8232 E Houston Rd	open
Micheladas La Borrada	Food truck		7989 Tidwell Rd	open
Mount Olive Gourmet Foods, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6618 Homestead Rd	open
New Millennium Temple	Bar		7906 Green River Dr	open
Outpost	Bar		8357 Liberty Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8615 Tidwell Rd Ste B Suite B	open
Qi Sweets	Bakery	Bakery	8232 E Houston Rd	open
Rincon Huasteca	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	7410 Ley Rd	open
Seville Lounge	Bar		8001 Mesa Rd	open
Shipley Do-Nuts Shipley Do-Nuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	8901 Mesa Dr	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service		9425 Mesa Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6900 North Loop E	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9421 Mesa Dr	open
Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican · Chicken / wings	8787 Tidwell Rd	open
Taco mex and gyros	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Mediterranean	6900 North Loop E	open
Tacos Los Cebollines	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8219 Ley Rd	open
Taquería La poblana Tx.	Food truck	Mexican	5904 E Houston Rd	open
Taqueria Las Aguilas Taqueria Taxco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8806 Mesa Dr	open
Taqueria Mincho's	Food truck	Mexican	6929 N Loop E Fwy	open
Taqueria Tierra caliente	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	9309 N Wayside Dr	open
Taste New Orleans	Quick service	American		open
TB Pho and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Vietnamese · Asian	8615 Tidwell Rd	open
Tino’s Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5301 N Wayside Dr	open
Tony's Seafood & More	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Seafood	8615 Tidwell Rd	open
Triple J's Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	6715 Homestead Rd	open
Truth Sports Bar And Hookah Lounge	Bar		8325 Tidwell Rd	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	7001 NORTH LOOP E	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7610 N Wayside Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	9	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	8	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	9	1	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	9	9	1	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	10	10	1	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	10	—	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	12	—	10	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	13	1	11	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	13	1	11	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	15	—	14	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	16	14	—	13	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	16	15	1	13	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	14	1	12	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	15	14	—	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	16	—	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	16	—	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	15	13	—	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	13	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	15	—	13	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77028. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
77016	2.7 mi	11	2023
77026	3.1 mi	15	2023
77078	3.2 mi	3	2023
77013	3.8 mi	7	2023
77020	4.2 mi	25	2023
77093	4.2 mi	41	2023
77029	4.9 mi	40	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.