BMIE Market 77085

Harris County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,513 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,391 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,637 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±423 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,074 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,857 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$68,470 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,689 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,338 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±191 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$191,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,281 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77085
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+1,300.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,300.0% DERIVED: 1999 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 15–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.91) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77085. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.91, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64.3	64	40%	+25.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.4	76	35%	+26.7
Market Momentum Score	91.3	91	25%	+22.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,513	78	40%	+31.3
Median household income (ACS)	68,470	45	40%	+17.8
Households (ACS)	5,637	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.5	78	25%	+19.6
Population (ACS)	16,513	78	20%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	68,470	45	20%	+8.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	40	87	50%	+43.7
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	1,300	100	20%	+19.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

Sandwiches 4 · American 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Quick service 14 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	14460 Hillcroft St Ste 103	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7408 S. Sam Houston-Parkway W	open
Chubby’z Shaved Ice & More	Food truck		6505 W Orem Dr	open
enjoysurprise	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	13960 Hillcroft Ave	open
Fort Bend Toll Rd & Beltway 8 Whataburger	Quick service		7418 S SAM HOUSTON PKWY W	open
Golden Chick Golden Chick	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	13600 S Post Oak Rd	open
Home Cut Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	8420 S Sam Houston Pkwy W	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7408 S. Sam Houston-Parkway W	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		5779 W Fuqua St	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	7420 S Sam Houston Pkwy W	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8420 S Sam Houston Pkwy W Ste 250	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		7745 S Sam Houston Pkwy	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		7416 South Sam Houston Parkway West	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	7416A S Sam Houston Pkwy W	open
Pupuseria Parada	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	6100 W Fuqua St	open
Remo's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	8420 S Sam Houston Pkwy W Ste 260	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8420 S Sam Houston W Pky #180	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7414 S. Sam Houston Pkwy Suite 108	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	7422 South Sam Houston Pkwy W	open
Texas Kitchen	Specialty food shop · Quick service	American · Sandwiches	12530 Burdine St	open
Texas Tamale Company	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	14453 Hillcroft St Ste 200	open
The Bếp	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	8300 S Sam Houston Pkwy W #172	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7090a W. Orem Drive	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	7418 S SAM HOUSTON PKWY W	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1999	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	10	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	10	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	10	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	10	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	11	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	13	3	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	14	4	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77085. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
77489	2.3 mi	21	2023
77035	2.6 mi	27	2023
77053	2.8 mi	15	2023
77071	3.0 mi	19	2023
77045	3.7 mi	23	2023
77096	3.8 mi	67	2023
77031	4.3 mi	19	2023
77477	5.0 mi	99	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.