BMIE Market 77303

Montgomery County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	28,854 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,991 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,754 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±869 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,710 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,225 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$75,348 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,320 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,204 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±63 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$240,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,585 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	60.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77303
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+23.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+250.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+425.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	27 (range 24–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.9 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77303. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.9 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.5	75	40%	+29.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78.3	78	35%	+27.4
Market Momentum Score	83.5	84	25%	+20.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	28,854	88	40%	+35.2
Median household income (ACS)	75,348	56	40%	+22.3
Households (ACS)	9,754	85	20%	+17.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.3	83	25%	+20.8
Population (ACS)	28,854	88	20%	+17.6
Median household income (ACS)	75,348	56	20%	+11.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	23.5	80	50%	+39.8
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	250	95	20%	+19.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (59)

By cuisine

American 15 · Mexican 7 · Dessert 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · BBQ 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Quick service 12 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 6 · Food truck 6 · Bakery 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Other 2 · Café 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3 bros hotdogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	2314 N Frazier St	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2952 I-45 N	open
Bar- J Home	Bar		8 Ridgeway Rd	open
Black Walnut - Conroe Black Walnut Kitchen & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2971 Hawthorne Dr	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	2948 I-45 North, Suite 500 Ste. 500 Conroe Marketplace Shopping Center	open
Carrie's Coffee Mill	Coffee shop	Coffee	4401 N Frazier St	open
Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2520 Interstate 45 N	open
Chevron Station Conroe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2500 N Loop # 336 West	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2241 Stoneside Rd.	open
Chiller Bee Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2820 Interstate 45 N	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	19175 FM1314	open
Cocktails Express	Bar · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	4206 N Frazier St	open
Coffee Cabin	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	11770 Rollingwood Loop	open
Crispy Cones - Conroe Crispý Cones	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2200 N Frazier St Ste 135	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2243 Stoneside Rd	open
Donut Xpress	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	4201 N Frazier St	open
Eggs Up Grill Eggs Up Grill	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	2816 Interstate 45 N	open
Enviro Waste	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10685 FM 1484 Rd	open
Epiphany Lounge at Grand Pines (Formerly B.E. Winery)	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		400 Bryant Rd	open
Fork it to you bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Vegetarian · Dessert	2205 N Frazier St	open
Fry Daddy's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		15490 E Williams Rd	open
Golden Chick Golden Chick	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1127 League Line Rd	open
Gringo's Mexican Kitchen {Conroe} Gringo's "The Original"	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	2550 Interstate 45 N	open
Han's Pub	Bar · Casual dining		10605 Greenridge Rd	open
Herbeato's	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	10440 FM Rd 2432	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2241 Stoneside Rd.	open
Jch Payroll	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9672 Pozos Ln	open
Kirby's Kitchen	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		11187 FM 1484 Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		15799 Texas 105 E	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2325 N FM 3083 Rd E	open
Long John Silver's	Quick service		2200 N Frazier St	open
Mack's Shack BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	11994 Cedar Ln	open
Mama Juanita's Mama Juanita's Mexican Restaurant - Conroe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1118 League Line Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1200 League Line Rd	open
Nifty Fifty Smoke Shack & Sweet Treats	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	American	3082 N Frazier St	open
OMG WINGS	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13950 Willis Waukegan Rd Montgomery	open
Pizza Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10913 FM 1484 Rd	open
Pizza Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	15510 E Williams Rd	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2940 Ih 45	open
Rancho Grande Grill & Cantina	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2207 N Frazier St	open
Red Lobster Red Lobster	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	2944 Interstate 45 N	open
Salty's	Bar		11187 FM 1484 Rd	open
Smokey Mo's BBQ Smokey Mo's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2960 Interstate 45 N	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	808 West Loop 336	open
Southern Star Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		1207 N FM 3083 Rd E	open
Southern Star Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		3525 N Frazier St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3001 N Frazier Suite C	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	10913 FM 1484 Rd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	15510 E Williams Rd	open
Sugar Sisters Bakehouse	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	15437 McRae Lk	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1114 League Line Rd	open
Taco Bueno Taco Bueno	Quick service	Mexican	2026 Interstate 45 N	open
Taco Bueno	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2026 I-45 North	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse Philippines	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Steakhouse · American	2230 Interstate 45 N	open
The SHED	Food truck	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	10440 FM 2432 Rd	open
The Webster Melting Company	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3525 N Frazier St	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1116 League Line Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1109 League Line Road	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	5	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	7	6	1	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	10	4	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	13	6	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	13	6	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	16	14	6	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	18	16	8	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	20	17	9	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	18	15	8	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	16	15	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	17	9	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	20	10	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	22	11	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	24	12	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	23	22	10	11	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	21	10	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77303. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.