BMIE Market 77328

San Jacinto County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,208 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,585 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,141 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±678 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,993 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,321 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,428 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,801 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,149 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±85 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$190,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±39,427 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	180.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77328
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2016 → 2021, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	3 (range 2–4) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2009–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.12) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77328. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2009–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.12, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	60.7	61	40%	+24.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.3	76	35%	+26.7
Market Momentum Score	82.8	83	25%	+20.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,208	79	40%	+31.5
Median household income (ACS)	62,428	34	40%	+13.7
Households (ACS)	6,141	77	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	1.7	99	25%	+24.9
Population (ACS)	17,208	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	62,428	34	20%	+6.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	50	90	50%	+45.1
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (27)

By cuisine

American 7 · Mexican 4 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Bakery 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 6 · Food truck 6 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	107 Fm 2025 Rd	open
Backwoods Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	11310 FM1725	open
Birria El Muchacho	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		3356 US-59	open
Boss Hogg Bbq & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	9080 Hopson Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	601 West Southline Street	open
Carnitas 105	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		23237 Highway 105	open
Coffee News Texas	Coffee shop	Coffee	12810 Anmar Dr	open
Donut Xpress	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	25525 TX-105	open
El Botana Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood	18919 TX-105	open
Garcia's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18374 Highway 105	open
Hernandez Concession Sports	Bar		20021 TX-105	open
Kickers 2025	Bar		13151 FM 2025 Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	25525 Highway 105 East	open
La CabaÑIta Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	244 County Rd 379	open
Las Suegras Pupusas & MORE	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		21209 TX-105	open
Lone Star Goat Cheese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2266 S Walker Rd	open
LT’s	Bar · Casual dining	American	11310 FM-1725	open
Marisqueria Los Primos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	23581 Goode Rd	open
Micheladas NUEVO LEON	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	13151 FM-2025	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		1830 US 59	open
Porky's	Bar · Casual dining		18363 TX-105	open
Smokin' Dave's BBQ Food Truck	Food truck	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	9484 Fostoria Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	18321 TX-105	open
Taqueria Maria Bonita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	21120 TX-105	open
TERIYAKI JAPANESE FOOD	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Japanese · American	20052 TX-105	open
Tex-Mex Fusion	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · American	11033 Fostoria Rd	open
The Fostoria Plaza	Food truck	Burgers	11300 Fostoria Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	—	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
2002	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	1	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	1	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	1	1	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	2	2	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	2	2	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	3	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	2	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	3	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	2	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2019	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77328. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.