BMIE Market 77418

Austin County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,171 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±838 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,886 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±380 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,585 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,432 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$90,611 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,065 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,130 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±133 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$344,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±40,320 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	185.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77418
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+17.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+81.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 13–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.08) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77418. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.08, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.0	72	40%	+28.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.9	60	35%	+21.0
Market Momentum Score	74.4	74	25%	+18.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,171	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	90,611	74	40%	+29.5
Households (ACS)	3,886	71	20%	+14.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	17.7	61	35%	+21.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.7	38	25%	+9.5
Population (ACS)	10,171	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	90,611	74	20%	+14.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	42.9	88	50%	+44.1
10-year restaurant growth	17.7	61	30%	+18.3
20-year restaurant growth	42.9	60	20%	+12.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

Coffee 11 · American 10 · Mexican 6 · BBQ 5 · Burgers 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Chinese 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Bar 13 · Quick service 10 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1224 Smoothies	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1424 S Front St	open
Alejandro's Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	20 E Main St	open
Antojitos Rolisa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	228 S Front St	open
Bellville Cafe Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		103 E Main St	open
Bellville Perk	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	540 W Main St	open
Bellville Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	233 S Front St	open
Bird’s Barbecue	Food truck	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	661 W Main St	open
Block Ice Depot	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4564 Highway 36 N	open
Bluebonnet Cafe & Bakery	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	7125 FM 529 Rd	open
Cielito Lindo Restaurant II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	412 E Main St	open
Cochran Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	10711 Hwy 159 E	open
Cowboy Cafe	Café	Coffee · Burgers · American	11942 Highway 159 W	open
Crawfish Outlet To Geaux	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	125 S Front St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	421 E Main St 421 E Main St	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		421 E Main St	open
Duke's on Main	Bar		3 E Main St	open
Duncan Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	125 S Front St	open
El Jimador Mexican Grill El jimador Bellville	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	864 E Hill St	open
Emery's Buffalo Creek	Winery / distillery / taproom		10827 TX-36	open
Empire Pizza Bellville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1402 S Front St	open
Farm to Market Kitchen	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	128 E Palm St	open
Galileo's Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1220 S Front St	open
Golden Pagoda	Buffet	Chinese · Sushi · Japanese	201 E Main St	open
Guyton’s Ribz & More	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	BBQ · American	8837 TX-36	open
Huff Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom		11 E Main St	open
Huff Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		11 E Main St	open
Interstellar Coffee Bellville	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee		open
Joe's Italian Grill & Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1216 Highway 159 E	open
Junebug's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	439 S Thomas St	open
Kenny Store & Beer Joint, Kenny, TX	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Lil Red Barn Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	1216 Highway 159 E	open
M&T Burgers and more	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers	20 N Matthews St	open
Mauro’s taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	731 E Hill St	open
Miss Bobi's Roadhouse	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Sandwiches · American	10508 TX-159	open
Newman's Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Bakery · Coffee	504 E Main St	open
Pancho Villa Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	132 King Rd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	380 W Main St	open
Ruffus Pleasant	Bar		11 E Main St	open
Silver Saddle Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Latin American (other) · American	312 E Main St	open
Simple Simon's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	540 W Main St	open
Smoky's Ice House	Bar		707 FM2429	open
Snowflake Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	209 E Main St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	716 Front Street	open
Southern Core	Dessert		512 S Front St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	800 W Main St	open
Texas Farm Bureau Insurance	Restaurant (service type not stated)		620 W Main St	open
The Bellville Perk	Coffee shop · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	964 S Front St	open
The Gathery	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	103 E Main St	open
The Hill	Quick service	Burgers · American	758 W Main St	open
The Newton’s	Bar			open
The.Sunset.Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	233 S Front St	open
Time To Chill Daiquiris To Go	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	31 N Matthews St	open
Trump Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	233 S Front St	open
Turnerhill's House of BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1216 Highway 159 E	open
Twenty Two North Holland	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		22 N Holland St	open
U Bar Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		5701 TX-159	open
Uncle Bill's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	786 W Main St	open
Uncle Bill's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1428 S Front St	open
Yani's Steak House	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	1216 Hwy 159 E	open
Yani's Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Italian	1416 S Front St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	14	14	9	4	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	13	13	8	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	13	13	7	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	16	16	9	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	13	13	8	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	14	8	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	15	14	8	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	14	14	7	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	15	15	6	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	14	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	15	13	7	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	12	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	14	13	6	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	14	7	3	3	2	NAICS2012
2013	20	17	8	6	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	19	16	7	5	3	2	NAICS2012
2015	20	16	8	5	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	16	13	6	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	16	14	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	14	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	12	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	15	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	15	7	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	18	8	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	20	9	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77418. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.