BMIE Market 77422

Brazoria County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,547 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,100 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,796 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±435 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,933 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,732 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$76,829 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,381 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,140 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±208 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$208,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,343 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	171.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77422
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-30.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+16.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 6–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	16 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77422. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.3	68	40%	+27.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.8	56	35%	+19.5
Market Momentum Score	15.5	16	25%	+3.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,547	76	40%	+30.5
Median household income (ACS)	76,829	58	40%	+23.1
Households (ACS)	4,796	74	20%	+14.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	35%	+5.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.8	92	25%	+23.1
Population (ACS)	14,547	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	76,829	58	20%	+11.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 16 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	50%	+8.5
10-year restaurant growth	-12.5	17	30%	+5.1
20-year restaurant growth	-30	10	20%	+2.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

Mexican 8 · American 7 · Coffee 5 · Bakery 4 · Latin American (other) 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bar 10 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 3 · Dessert 3 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bravamano Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	424 N Brooks St	open
Brazoria Restaurant Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2922 County Road 519	open
Brook Street Pub	Bar		129 S Brooks St	open
Burnt Biscuit	Café	Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast	511 S Brooks St	open
Busters Bar	Bar		129 S Brooks St	open
Cakes by Monica	Bakery	Bakery	801 N Market St	open
Chilo's Tacos	Food truck	Mexican	1630 N Brooks St	open
Cooter Brown's Country Club	Bar		128 S Brooks St	open
D & J 521 Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2603 FM 521 Rd	open
D & S Donut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	414 N Brooks St	open
Diamond S Restaurant	Casual dining	American · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1015 S Brooks St	open
Dido's Banquet Hall	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	905 N Brooks	open
El Potrillo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1116 N Brooks St	open
Food Express	Food truck	American · Mexican	101-111 Marion St	open
Hall Family Estates	Winery / distillery / taproom		211 N Brooks St ste h	open
Jovita's Cafe	Café	Coffee · Mexican	206 San Bernard St	open
Jovita's Taco Hut	Quick service	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1407 N Brooks St	open
KC's Pit Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	3448 County Rd 310	open
Kenjo's Barbecue Brazoria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	200 E San Bernard St	open
Krueger$ Ranch Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		3546 CR-347	open
Lil’ Shaka Shack	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	310 San Bernard St	open
Lollie's SnoCones	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	202 S Brooks St	open
Mary's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	211 N N Erwin St	open
Mikel's Pub	Bar		3491 County Road 310	open
Nana's Snow Cones	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service			open
Nik's Sweets and Treats	Bakery	Bakery	134 Jane Street	open
Ramirez Tamales	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	18063 County Road 463	open
RED TOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)		h 36 north	open
Rikos Tacos Brazoria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		210 southbrooks	open
River Rendezview, Dido's & the Yellowstone	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2922 County Rd 519	open
Ronnie's Ice House	Bar		1405 N Brooks St	open
Roosters Lounge	Bar		908 S Brooks St	open
S & P Bar and Grill	Bar		18795 County Road 461	open
Shrimp Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)		210 S Brooks St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	707 North Highway 36	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	402 N Brooks St	open
Taqueria El Girasol 979	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	202 S Brooks St	open
Taqueria La Sureña	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex		open
Tex Mexican Palm Trees	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	405 E Camp St	open
The Kolache Shop	Bakery	Bakery · German / Eastern European	120 Henderson St	open
The Rusty Rail	Bar		129 S Brooks St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	11	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	11	8	4	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	10	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	9	5	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	14	14	8	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	11	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	10	6	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	14	11	5	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	11	9	4	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	9	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	8	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	9	4	3	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	10	4	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	8	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	9	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	7	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77422. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.