BMIE Market 77447

Harris County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	25,231 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,319 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,296 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±805 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,872 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,252 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$116,925 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,684 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,811 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±283 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$326,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,758 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	103.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77447
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+77.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+433.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 13–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.73) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	94 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77447. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.73, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.3	86	40%	+34.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88.9	89	35%	+31.1
Market Momentum Score	94.3	94	25%	+23.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	25,231	85	40%	+34.2
Median household income (ACS)	116,925	89	40%	+35.7
Households (ACS)	8,296	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.3	87	25%	+21.7
Population (ACS)	25,231	85	20%	+17.1
Median household income (ACS)	116,925	89	20%	+17.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 94 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	77.8	94	50%	+47.0
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	433.3	98	20%	+19.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (45)

By cuisine

Dessert 7 · Mexican 7 · Bakery 6 · Pizza 5 · American 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Quick service 11 · Bakery 8 · Bar 8 · Dessert 8 · Casual dining 3 · Food truck 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2920 Roadhouse	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	21835 Farm to Market 2920	open
Backdoor Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	35314 Hempstead Hwy	open
Backdraft Bar	Bar	BBQ · Mexican	25599 FM 1488 Rd	open
Baker's Dozen Kolaches & Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	23933 Nichols Sawmill Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	32202 Hempstead Hwy	open
Buzzard Hill	Casual dining · Bar		23713 Nichols Sawmill Rd	open
Checkers	Quick service		35515 Highway 290 Byp	open
Church's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	32150 Hempstead Hwy	open
Club campestre los andes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13935 Katy Hockley Rd	open
Cup of Grace Bakery & Coffee Shop	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	35314 Hempstead Hwy Suite 300	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	23933 Nichols Sawmill Rd #E	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	32202 US-290	open
El Jimador Méxican Grill El jimador Bellville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	23701 Nichols Sawmill Rd	open
El volcancito	Food truck	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	33726 Kestrel Rd	open
Houston Oaks Country Club	Bar		23303 Hegar Rd	open
Jimbo's Roadhouse	Bar		35230 Hempstead Hwy	open
Jordan's Home Cook'N	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	Next door to Jimbo's Roadhouse, 35228 Hempstead Rd	open
La Placita Taco Truck	Food truck	Mexican	25027 Farm to Market 2920	open
LEVEL UP Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	16215 Hargrove Rd	open
Link Holdings L.l.c	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21835 FM 2920 Rd	open
Lumpy's Smokehaus	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Quick service		22618 FM 2920 Rd, Ste 200	open
Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	17160 Becker Rd Ste B	open
Martha’s Tortillas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	18700 Becker Rd	open
Miches Mix	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17929 Brook Way St	open
Oh Mai Gad	Dessert · Casual dining	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	28521 Old Washington Rd	open
Oh Sweet Cotton Candy & Treats	Dessert	Dessert	24135 Becker Hollow Ln	open
Pinnacle Tire Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		33402 Highway 290 Ste A	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	23931 Nichols Sawmill Rd	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		32150 Hempstead Highway	open
Popeyes Popeyes	Quick service		22111 Fm 2920	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	20022 Farm to Market 2920	open
Restivo Family Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		18918 Hopfe Rd #1	open
Shipley Do-Nuts Shipley Do-Nuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	22618 Farm to Market 2920	open
Shipley Do-Nuts Shipley Do-Nuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	17160 Becker Rd Ste F	open
Simple Simon's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	21844 Farm to Market 2920, Ste B	open
Solange bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Carretera Rural 2920	open
Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	32202 Hempstead Highway Bldg B Bldg B	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	23931 Nichols Sawmill Rd	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	17160 Becker Rd Ste D	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	32150 Hempstead Hwy	open
TacoMore	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	24723 FM-2920	open
Tacos Carmen	Food truck	Mexican	18800 Becker Rd	open
The Evolving Baker	Bakery	Bakery	23933 Nichols Sawmill Rd Ste 1C	open
Tipsy Blender	Bar		18800 Becker Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
2002	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	4	4	—	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	5	5	—	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	7	1	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	8	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	1	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	7	1	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	1	6	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	10	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	9	1	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	10	9	—	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	10	2	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	9	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	16	6	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77447. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.