BMIE Market 77485

Austin County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,378 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±660 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,714 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±250 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,054 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,769 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$51,742 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,235 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$945 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±198 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$224,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±31,515 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	77.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	Not published for this ZIP 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77485
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2009 → 2014, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2005 → 2015, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2014, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2021	3 (range 1–4) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2000–2016 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.67) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	92 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77485. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2000–2016, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.67, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	41.8	42	40%	+16.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.6	71	35%	+24.7
Market Momentum Score	92.1	92	25%	+23.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,378	58	40%	+23.3
Median household income (ACS)	51,742	17	40%	+6.8
Households (ACS)	1,714	59	20%	+11.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.6	93	25%	+23.3
Population (ACS)	4,378	58	20%	+11.6
Median household income (ACS)	51,742	17	20%	+3.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	100	96	50%	+48.0
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+27.6
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (10)

By cuisine

Pizza 2 · American 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 4 · Bar 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Frost the Moon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	6327 Commerce St	open
Hangar 54 Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	PO Box 399 10505 HWY 36 W	open
Hangar 54 Pizza Hangar 54 Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10505 TX-36	open
Hangar 54 Pizza	Quick service		10505 Highway 36 S	open
Las Flores Mexican Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5903 Commerce Street	open
Long Mobile Cafe	Café · Food truck	Coffee · American	7727 Lana Ln	open
Marini's Empanada Kitchen	Catering	Latin American (other)	6423 Commerce St	open
Peanut's Corner Beer-Pool	Bar			open
Snowflake Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	6825 Commerce St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	6607 Commerce St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	1	—	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	1	—	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	1	—	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
2000	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	2	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	2	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77485. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.