BMIE Market 77518

Galveston County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,541 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,178 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,650 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±379 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,673 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,427 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$51,458 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,725 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,498 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±403 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$201,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,362 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77518
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+36.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 11–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.08) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77518. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.08, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.7	49	40%	+19.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.3	56	35%	+19.7
Market Momentum Score	82.2	82	25%	+20.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,541	70	40%	+28.0
Median household income (ACS)	51,458	17	40%	+6.7
Households (ACS)	3,650	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	36.4	75	35%	+26.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.7	50	25%	+12.6
Population (ACS)	9,541	70	20%	+14.0
Median household income (ACS)	51,458	17	20%	+3.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	66.7	93	50%	+46.5
10-year restaurant growth	36.4	75	30%	+22.6
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (48)

By cuisine

Mexican 12 · American 11 · Latin American (other) 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Coffee 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Pizza 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 20 · Bar 14 · Casual dining 10 · Quick service 10 · Food truck 5 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
146 Road House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Steakhouse · American	3435 Highway 146	open
3 Dog Nite	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	4902 Moody Reef Dr	open
American Trash Bar South	Casual dining · Bar	American	4217 TX-146	open
Anthonys Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	941 Grand Ave	open
Antigua cafÃ© Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4041 S Crest St	open
Azteca Xitlaly	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4227 TX-146	open
Bakery El Shaddai	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1106 Grand Ave Unit A	open
Bayview Duck Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3131 Highway 146	open
Boardwalk Fudge - Bacliff Texas	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Juice / smoothies	103 Mary Ln	open
Brooklyn Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1007 Grand Ave	open
Cevichelas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		146	open
Chinese Wok Chinese Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1129 Grand Ave	open
Cliffside Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	433 Grand Ave	open
Doggone-Crazy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · American	200 Grand Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	4627 Highway 146	open
F&b Lyttle Investments Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4438 Boulevard St	open
Grand Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1128 Grand Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		4605 Highway 146	open
Jack's Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Burgers · Breakfast		open
Jackie's Tavern	Bar		135 Grand Ave	open
Joel’s Palapa Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		East Galveston Bay	open
Juniors Drive-In	Bar		200 Grand Ave	open
La Brisa Mexican Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4001 TX-146	open
La Cabañita	Food truck	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	4801 SH-146	open
Leo's Snacks	Food truck	Mexican	4101 Highway 146	open
Lucas Tortillas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	1103 Grand Ave	open
Lulu's Place	Bar · Casual dining		4217 TX-146	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Quick service		4629 Hwy 146	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4505 Hwy 146	open
Mi pueblito bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	1106 Grand Ave	open
Michoacan A Pedir De Boca Ice Cream Shop Michoacan a pedir de boca	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	433 Grand Ave #101	open
Navarro's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	1031 Grand Ave	open
No Forks	Food truck · Quick service	American	523 Grand Ave	open
Noah's Ark Restaurant & Palapa Bar on Galveston Bay	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	4438 Boulevard St	open
Ol' Mother's Speakeasy	Bar		3505 TX-146 #300	open
Pupuseria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1103 Grand Ave	open
Stomp's Burger Joint	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	3107 Highway 146	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4627 Highway 146	open
Taco chilango	Quick service	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4020 Clifton Ln	open
Tallman Tiki Tavern	Bar · Casual dining	BBQ	3215 Wavecrest St	open
TaquerÃa Morales(Food Truck)	Food truck	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	4505 5th St	open
Taqueria el Taquito	Food truck	Mexican	1031 Grand Ave	open
Taqueria la Chaparita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	306 Grand Ave	open
Taqueria Little Boys	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	American	4505 5th St	open
The Rusty Hook Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3435 TX-146	open
Yummy Yummy Int'l Fastfood & Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1106 Grand Ave	open
Zizzi Sport Bar	Bar · Casual dining		4801 TX-146	open
Clifton By The Sea	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 Grand Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	3	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	8	6	3	3	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	7	4	2	2	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	9	7	3	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	15	13	10	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	12	10	7	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	10	8	5	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	12	10	6	3	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	12	9	5	3	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	11	8	4	3	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	11	8	4	3	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	13	11	6	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	14	12	7	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	15	13	8	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	11	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	13	11	5	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	16	14	7	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	14	13	6	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	14	13	6	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	9	3	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	11	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	7	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	15	7	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	15	6	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77518. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
77565	3.6 mi	43	2023
77539	4.4 mi	58	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.