BMIE Market 77591

Galveston County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,294 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,308 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,985 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±472 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,131 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,806 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$68,593 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,418 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,332 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±60 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$222,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,540 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	10.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77591
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+45.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 12–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77591. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.7	66	40%	+26.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.9	70	35%	+24.5
Market Momentum Score	69.1	69	25%	+17.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,294	80	40%	+31.9
Median household income (ACS)	68,593	45	40%	+17.9
Households (ACS)	6,985	79	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.8	77	25%	+19.3
Population (ACS)	18,294	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	68,593	45	20%	+9.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	14.3	72	50%	+36.2
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	33.3	54	20%	+10.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (61)

By cuisine

Bakery 9 · American 8 · Chicken / wings 6 · Coffee 6 · Mexican 6 · Dessert 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Italian 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Greek 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mediterranean 2 · German / Eastern European 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Pizza 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 29 · Quick service 16 · Bar 12 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 6 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Buffet 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Auntie Anne's Auntie Anne's	Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	5885 Gulf Fwy	open
Bayou Birdies	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2800 Ted Dudley Dr.	open
Beyond Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	10510 Emmett F Lowry Expy	open
Big Phil’s Soul & Creole Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	10000 Emmett F Lowry Expy Ste 1136	open
Brick & Spoon Brick & Spoon - Orange Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	10000 Emmett F Lowry Expy	open
Cafe Petra Greek & Lebanese Restaurant Cafe Petra Greek and Lebanese- League City,TX	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean · Greek	9300 Emmett F Lowry Expy	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	5885 Gulf Fwy	open
Cheryl's Passion Cookies	Bakery	Bakery	2801 FM 2004 Rd	open
Chicken Now	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5885 Gulf Fwy	open
chicken plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	8030 FM 1765	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1901 FM 1765	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5885 Gulf Fwy	open
Coffee Connection	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	9300 Emmett F Lowry Expy	open
Crepes and waffles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	Tanger Outlets, 5885 Gulf Fwy	open
Da Compound	Bar		6610 FM-1765	open
Da Daiquiri Spot	Bar		7130 FM 1765	open
Dawn Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	5310 FM1765	open
DoFunny's	Casual dining · Bar		213 S Westward St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	8530 Fm 1765	open
Double D’s Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9902 Emmett F Lowry Expy	open
Ends	Bar		6106 FM1765	open
Galaxy Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	10000 Emmett F Lowry Expy Ste 4000-1B	open
Grazia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	10000 Emmett F Lowry Expy Ste 1130	open
Great Wraps	Other	Sandwiches	5885 Gulf Fwy	open
Gringo’s Mexican Kitchen {Texas City} Gringo's "The Original"	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	10200 Emmett F Lowry Expy	open
Gyro Connection	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	11420 31st Ave N	open
Hoppe's Grill Texas City	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		First Baptist Church of Texas City, 10000 Emmett F Lowry Expy	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		2101 Fm 2004 Rd	open
Jusan Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	8030 FM 1765	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches · Halal / kosher	5885 Gulf Freeway Ste 351	open
Linna Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	8148 Emmett F Lowry Expy	open
Luna's Mexican Resturant Luna's Mexican Restaurant-Baytown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	9300 Emmett F Lowry Expy	open
Martin's Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	5885 Gulf Fwy Ste 352	open
Mawmaw’s Kitchen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		230 S Cobb St	open
Mi Cielito Lindo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6902 FM 1765	open
Moore's Tavern	Bar		110 N Pine Rd	open
NYC Gyro Korner	Quick service	Mediterranean · American	5885 Gulf Fwy	open
Obies	Bar		6600 Block	open
Olive Garden Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	10212 Emmett F Lowry Expy	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	9802 FM 1764	open
Roux Daddys Soul & Creole Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
Ryan's	Buffet		2310 Farmers Market Rd 2004	open
Sinaloa's	Quick service	Mexican · Italian	7130 FM-1765	open
Sinaloa's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4518 FM1765	open
Smokin J’s Homemade Burgers & BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	BBQ	10000 Emmett F Lowry Expy	open
SnoPalace	Dessert			open
Star Burger Zone	Quick service		877 Lane Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2024 Gulf Fwy	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	5885 Gulf Fwy	open
Stingers Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		College of the Mainland, 10000 Emmett F Lowry Expy	open
Stuttgarden Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	German / Eastern European	10000 Emmett F Lowry Expy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5204 Texas Ave Ste H	open
Sun's Donut	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	6502 FM 1765	open
T's Sports Bar	Bar	American	213 S Westward St	open
Taqueria ElCorazon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6902 FM-1765	open
Texas Pit Stop Texas Pit Stop BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	10000 Emmett F Lowry Expy	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	6131 Gulf Fwy	open
The Nutrition Hangout - Smoothie & Energy Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	9300 FM-1764 W	open
Timeout Number 5 Sports Bar and Grill	Bar · Casual dining		9300 Emmett F Lowry Expy Ste 30	open
Total Wireless	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	8030 FM 1765, Suite B-102	open
Yummy Yummy	Buffet	Japanese · Sushi	2310 FM 2004	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	18	15	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	19	16	4	11	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	20	17	5	11	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	21	18	6	11	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	19	16	5	10	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	14	11	5	6	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	16	12	5	7	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	19	15	6	9	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	20	16	6	10	—	3	NAICS2002
2006	17	13	6	6	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	15	11	3	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	14	12	2	7	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	13	10	2	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	12	9	2	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	12	9	2	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	12	9	2	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	15	12	3	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	15	13	2	8	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	19	17	4	8	4	2	NAICS2012
2016	22	20	4	10	5	2	NAICS2012
2017	19	15	—	10	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	18	14	3	8	3	3	NAICS2017
2019	19	16	6	6	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	15	6	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	15	4	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	14	3	8	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	16	4	9	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77591. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
77568	2.4 mi	30	2023
77539	4.1 mi	58	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.