BMIE Market 77611

Orange County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,112 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±397 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,558 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±324 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,219 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,785 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$92,004 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,110 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,558 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±318 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$203,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,185 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77611
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	23.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+73.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+73.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+116.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 26–33) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77611. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.78, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.3	72	40%	+28.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.5	67	35%	+23.3
Market Momentum Score	79.5	80	25%	+19.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,112	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	92,004	75	40%	+30.0
Households (ACS)	3,558	69	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	73.3	88	35%	+30.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	25.7	26	25%	+6.4
Population (ACS)	10,112	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	92,004	75	20%	+15.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.2	76	50%	+38.0
10-year restaurant growth	73.3	88	30%	+26.5
20-year restaurant growth	73.3	75	20%	+15.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (62)

By cuisine

American 15 · Mexican 11 · Dessert 7 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · Pizza 5 · Seafood 5 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Coffee 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · BBQ 2 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 16 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 8 · Bar 6 · Bakery 4 · Café 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
America donuts	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	2105 Texas Ave	open
Big Doobie's Boudin and Cracklins	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2530 Texas Ave	open
Blue Moon Cajun Cafe	Café	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Coffee	2045 Texas Ave	open
Bridgecity Rw Incorporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		500 Texas Ave	open
Cardinal Snow Cone Stand	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · American	810 W Roundbunch Rd	open
Chicken Express Chicken Express	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	2250 Texas Ave	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1805 Texas Avenue	open
Chyla, A Mama + Her Boys	Dessert	Dessert		open
Daily Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	2580 Texas Ave	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1780 Texas Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	2380 Texas Ave.	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		1780 Texas Ave	open
El Autentico Taco El Caporal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2110 Texas Ave	open
El Caporal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2215 Texas Ave	open
Fat Boy's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	2227 Texas Ave	open
GRANDMA'S COUNTRY STYLE	Restaurant (service type not stated)		33 PATILLO Rd	open
Happy Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	845 W Roundbunch Rd B	open
Hop Avenue Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		75 Ferry Dr	open
Hwy 73 - Bridge City Whataburger	Quick service		1905 Texas Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	2395 Texas Ave	open
Judice's Cajun Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	2045 Texas Ave	open
Kfc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	785 Texas Ave	open
La Torcia Brick Oven Pizza La Torcia Brick Oven Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1125 Texas Ave	open
Las Rosas Mexican Restaurant Bridge City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2198 Texas Ave	open
Leslie's Place	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2198 Texas Ave	open
Lili's Tacos & Tequila	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2235 Texas Ave	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	715 Texas Ave	open
Low Tides	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · Burgers	3095 Texas Ave	open
Mama Sulma's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1000 W Round Bunch Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	755 Texas Ave	open
Milano's Italian Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	2100 Texas Ave	open
Miss Bs Take Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2675 Texas Ave	open
Oasis Coffee House	Café	Coffee	1055 Texas Ave	open
Pinehurst BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2100 Texas Ave	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1152 Texas Ave Orange	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		300 Ferry Drive	open
Ricky’s Crawfish Hole and Southern Cooking	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2675 Texas Ave	open
Romano's 8.31 Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	995 W Round Bunch Rd, 995 W Round Bunch Rd	open
Sammy's Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	2122 Texas Ave	open
Scratch Kitchen	Casual dining	American	1575 Texas Ave	open
Seafood Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	715 Texas Ave Ste i	open
Silver Fox	Casual dining · Bar		2095 Texas Ave	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	1265 Texas Avenue	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1090 Texas Ave	open
Sun Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	2429 Texas Ave	open
Sweet Bee Boutique & Desserts	Dessert	Dessert	2637 Texas Ave Ste D	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	835 Texas Ave	open
Tacos Don Guicho y fam. #4 Tacos Don Guicho y su fam. #1	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	985 W Roundbunch Rd	open
Tequilas Mexican Restaurant Tequilas Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1085 Texas Ave	open
Texas Avenue Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1195 Texas Ave	open
Texas Seafood & Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	1875 Texas Ave	open
The Bridge City Corndog Stand	Food truck · Quick service	American	795 Texas Ave	open
The Coffee Bean & Tea Leaf	Coffee shop	Coffee	1055 Texas Ave	open
The Crawfish Hole	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	405 Parkside Pl Dr	open
The Donut Shop	Bakery	Bakery	1125 Texas Ave	open
The Rustic Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		1195 Texas Ave	open
The Stuffed Mushroom Kitchen &catering Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2530 Texas Ave	open
Tropicana Ice Cream Parlor	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2637 Texas Ave	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	1905 Texas Ave	open
Zuniga's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1925 Texas Ave	open
Elements Cafe & Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1055 Texas Ave	closed
Sure Catch Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		605 W Round Bunch Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	14	14	4	10	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	16	15	4	11	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	14	13	4	9	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	14	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	14	3	10	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	15	2	10	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	14	14	3	9	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	15	15	2	9	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	12	2	7	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	17	17	5	9	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	15	15	3	9	3	—	NAICS2007
2009	16	16	3	9	4	—	NAICS2007
2010	20	19	4	9	6	1	NAICS2007
2011	19	18	5	8	5	1	NAICS2007
2012	17	15	4	9	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	18	15	3	10	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	16	14	3	9	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	18	16	4	9	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	21	19	6	9	4	2	NAICS2012
2017	23	21	6	10	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	22	8	9	5	3	NAICS2017
2019	25	21	8	9	4	4	NAICS2017
2020	21	18	7	8	3	3	NAICS2017
2021	26	23	9	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	23	10	8	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	26	10	10	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77611. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
77630	4.4 mi	48	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.