BMIE Market 77632

Orange County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,976 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,143 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,719 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±426 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,776 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,346 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$74,418 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,425 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,083 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±73 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$189,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,524 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	130.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77632
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,300.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 11–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77632. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.8	72	40%	+28.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.6	57	35%	+19.8
Market Momentum Score	46.9	47	25%	+11.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,976	84	40%	+33.5
Median household income (ACS)	74,418	54	40%	+21.7
Households (ACS)	8,719	83	20%	+16.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-6.7	20	35%	+7.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.1	88	25%	+21.9
Population (ACS)	22,976	84	20%	+16.8
Median household income (ACS)	74,418	54	20%	+10.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	-6.7	20	30%	+6.0
20-year restaurant growth	-6.7	18	20%	+3.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (53)

By cuisine

American 10 · Bakery 8 · Coffee 7 · Breakfast 5 · Dessert 5 · Pizza 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sandwiches 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Casual dining 9 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 7 · Bar 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Catering 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Barry’s Greek Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	1720 Lutcher Dr	open
Bojangles Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	5010 i-10	open
Brick & Barley	Casual dining · Bar		2614 Lutcher Dr	open
Cakes Plus	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7677 Lamurel Willey Rd	open
Crawfish Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	12201 TX-62	open
Deweyville Donut Palace	Quick service		43443 State Highway 87 S	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10335 TX-12	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		11785 Highway 62 N	open
Dunkin donuts Dunkin'	Dessert · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Dessert · Bakery	12330 I-10	open
El Ranchero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	10383 TX-12	open
First Cup Café	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	7637 Martin Luther King Junior Dr	open
Free State Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		4702 Tejas Pkwy	open
Hot Stuff Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7120 Interstate 10 W #62	open
Jumping Bean Coffee and Gift	Coffee shop	Coffee	7174 Highway 87 N	open
K.C.'s Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		8263 Breckinwood St.	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7120 Interstate 10 W	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	11384 Hwy 12	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	8270 Highway 87 N	open
Lea Beth’s Farm Stand	Bakery	Bakery	1328 Buckingham Dr	open
Leslie’s Place Mauriceville	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	11261 TX-12	open
Little Cypress Maurceville Domino's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	8177 Highway 87 N	open
Michelle's Kitchen and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering · Café	Coffee	320 County Road 4176	open
Orange City Donut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	3640 Martin Luther King Junior Dr	open
Orange Grove Coffee House	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	7174 TX-87	open
Piney Woods Country Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		3408 Willow St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1720 Lutcher Dr	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		5000 Interstate 10	open
Pizza Pro of Mauriceville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10899 Highway 12	open
QBee'z Bar & Grill	Bar		Pine Ridge Street	open
Randal Orange Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3736 N 16th St	open
Roberts Meat Market and Steakhouse	Specialty food shop	American · Steakhouse	5007 Magnolia Ln	open
Rustee's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		9468 TX-12	open
Ryan donut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	8850 TX-12	open
S.d.i. Mauriceville, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11786 Highway 62 N	open
Setx Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	10335 Highway 12	open
Shaklee Independent Distributor-Carolyn Hillsten	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4810 Oak Valley Dr	open
Shiver Shack Snowcones	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6928 Highway 87 N	open
Simply Sweet Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2797 Ben Mac Rd	open
Sketch Cafe & Bakery	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	7174 Highway 87 N	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11786 Highway 62 N	open
Stateline Too Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2510 TX-12 E	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3730 N 16th Street	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	10383 Hwy 12	open
Ten West Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2650 I-10 W	open
The Donut Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	11258 Highway 12	open
The Frenchie Farm	Bakery	Bakery	9472 Westbend Rd	open
The Meltdown	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7112 I-10 West	open
The Sno-Barn	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	5570 Bubba Rd	open
TROPICAL VIBES BURGERS & DAIQUIRIS "Mauriceville"	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	10335 TX-12	open
Tuffy's Eatery	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11261 Highway 12	open
Two Amigos Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2308 Lutcher Dr	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	2610 State Hwy 62 S	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	4212 27th St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	5	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	8	6	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	12	12	9	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	12	12	7	4	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	13	7	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	18	15	5	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	17	15	6	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	16	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	13	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	9	3	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	9	5	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	13	7	3	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	13	8	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	13	8	2	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	5	3	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	17	15	4	6	5	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	12	2	6	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	2	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	3	2	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	14	6	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	16	7	4	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	14	4	5	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	13	—	5	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	14	3	6	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77632. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.