BMIE Market 77713

Jefferson County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,541 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,814 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,822 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±515 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,788 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,761 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$91,330 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,236 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,404 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±111 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$226,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,099 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	103.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 77713
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+140.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,100.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 12–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.46) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	54 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 77713. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.46, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.0	76	40%	+30.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.3	69	35%	+24.3
Market Momentum Score	54.4	54	25%	+13.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,541	77	40%	+30.9
Median household income (ACS)	91,330	74	40%	+29.8
Households (ACS)	5,822	77	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	35%	+18.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.7	81	25%	+20.4
Population (ACS)	15,541	77	20%	+15.4
Median household income (ACS)	91,330	74	20%	+14.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	9.1	53	30%	+16.0
20-year restaurant growth	140	88	20%	+17.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (24)

By cuisine

American 4 · Bakery 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Dessert 4 · BBQ 3 · Asian 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · Coffee 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 4 · Bar 2 · Food truck 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Byrd Commune	Bar		13390 Capital Dr	open
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7495 Smith Rd.	open
Chicken Express	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7290 Highway 105	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7525 Highway 105	open
Crystal Pho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	3255 N Major Dr	open
Dawn donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	18699 US-90	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit Dickey's Barbecue Pit National	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	15239 US-90	open
Get This Cake	Bakery	Bakery	4375 N Major Dr	open
Godfather's Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7495 Smith Rd	open
Happy Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery	3529 N Major Dr	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		7380 Highway 105	open
K Asian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Seafood · Chicken / wings	7525 TX-105 Ste 3	open
Kv Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7525 Highway 105	open
Mack Henry's BBQ and Boudin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	13440 TX-105	open
Major Donut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	7265 Highway 105	open
Rogers BBQ Barn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	15879 Sour Lake Rd	open
Sdi Beaumont Tx 105 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7365 Highway 105	open
Soggy Bottom Saloon	Bar		11325 Old Voth Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7365 Highway 105	open
Spoon it! Frozen Yogurt Factory	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	7515 TX-105 Ste 102	open
Taqueria Lindo Michoacan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7105 Tram Rd	open
The Crawfish Haus	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea	Seafood · Juice / smoothies	13440 TX-105	open
Vautrot's Cajun Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	13350 TX-105	open
Zeke's Cajun Kitchen LLC	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	9537 Lawhon Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	—	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	6	1	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	1	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	6	1	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	9	7	1	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	9	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	10	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	13	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	14	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 77713. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.