BMIE Market 78013

Kendall County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,809 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±859 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,017 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±356 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,930 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,592 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$82,492 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$969 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±148 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$416,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54,498 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	226.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78013
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+57.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+22.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 8–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.14) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78013. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.14, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.2	62	40%	+24.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39.3	39	35%	+13.8
Market Momentum Score	40.6	41	25%	+10.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,809	60	40%	+23.9
Median household income (ACS)	82,492	65	40%	+26.0
Households (ACS)	2,017	61	20%	+12.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	35%	+6.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.9	31	25%	+7.6
Population (ACS)	4,809	60	20%	+12.0
Median household income (ACS)	82,492	65	20%	+13.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-8.3	19	30%	+5.8
20-year restaurant growth	57.1	70	20%	+13.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 6 · Mexican 5 · Burgers 3 · Pizza 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Sandwiches 2 · BBQ 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 7 · Quick service 7 · Winery / distillery / taproom 7 · Café 6 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Catering 2 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bauernladen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		327 Front St	open
Bending Branch Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		142 Lindner Branch Trl E	open
Both Hands Burger Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	713 High St	open
Branch On High	Bar		612 High St	open
BRene’s Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Chicken / wings	429 Front St	open
Chicken Express Chicken Express	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	42 US-87	open
Comfort Cafe	Café · Quick service	Coffee · American	104 Blue Rdg	open
Comfort Cellars Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		723 Front St	open
Comfort Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	523 8th St	open
Comfort Infusions	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		704A High St	open
Comfort Pizza	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Coffee	802 High St	open
Comfort Table and Food Pantry	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Cypress Creek Inn Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	408 TX-27	open
Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	36 U.S. 87	open
Don Carlos Cocina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Mexican	108 FM 289	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		Hwy 87 And I-10	open
Fajita St.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1004 Front St	open
Food for the Soul Bistro	Casual dining · Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	845 High St	open
Fritze’s BBQ & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	702 High St	open
High's Cafe & Store	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	726 High St	open
Hill Country Wineworks	Winery / distillery / taproom		16 US Highway 87	open
Horseshoe Pub & Pizza	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	429 Front St	open
La Calabria Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	390 Hermann Sons Rd E	open
Longhorn Lounge	Bar		810 Avenue A Suite B	open
Los Jarritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1005 US-87	open
Mar's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · American	104 Blue Ridge	open
Maria's Tacos	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	739 Front St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	43 US-87	open
Newsom Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		717 Front St	open
North Creek Ranch	Restaurant (service type not stated)		413 US Highway 87	open
Pulp-n-Berry Smoothie and Juice Bar at Scott & Co.	Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Juice / smoothies	22 US Highway 87	open
Ranch Rose	Winery / distillery / taproom		1 River Bend Rd	open
Roadhouse Tickets	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	26 FM-289	open
Shelby’s Dae-ly Meals - Catering & Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		220 FM 473	open
Singing Water Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		316 Mill Dam Rd	open
Skyline Gelato	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2 US-87	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	43 US-87	open
The Cocky Rooster Bar	Bar		7 US Hwy 87	open
The Lobby Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	523 Seventh St	open
Wander'n Calf Espresso Bar and Bakery	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	817 Front St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	9	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	7	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	7	3	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	9	4	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	14	12	5	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	13	11	4	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	16	14	6	8	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	17	15	9	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	12	6	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	14	12	6	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	13	12	6	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	10	5	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	13	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	12	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	11	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	11	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78013. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.