BMIE Market 78025

Kerr County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,999 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±706 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,929 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±255 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,956 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,417 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,964 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,399 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,105 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±208 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$248,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±69,796 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	54.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78025
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+125.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+80.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 12–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78025. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.78, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.7	56	40%	+22.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.5	67	35%	+23.3
Market Momentum Score	81.8	82	25%	+20.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,999	60	40%	+24.2
Median household income (ACS)	70,964	49	40%	+19.4
Households (ACS)	1,929	60	20%	+12.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	200	97	35%	+34.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18	43	25%	+10.7
Population (ACS)	4,999	60	20%	+12.1
Median household income (ACS)	70,964	49	20%	+9.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	200	97	30%	+29.2
20-year restaurant growth	125	87	20%	+17.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 7 · Mexican 5 · Coffee 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Bar 6 · Café 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 2 · Quick service 2 · Bakery 1 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
323 Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	323 TX-39	open
Barreras Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3324 Junction Hwy	open
Copper Pot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · American	109 TX-39	open
Don Chepe's	Food truck		3126 Junction Hwy	open
Down On The Loop	Casual dining · Bar		345 TX-39	open
El Paisa Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3106 Junction Hwy	open
Fritzer's Saloon	Bar		3370 Junction Hwy	open
Grape Juice	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · American	3287 Junction Hwy	open
Hunter House Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		316 Highway 39	open
Hunter House Cafe	Café	American · Coffee · Breakfast	316 TX-39	open
Hwy 27 - Ingram Whataburger	Quick service		3215 Junction Hwy	open
Kickin Wings	Bar	Chicken / wings · American	3106 Junction Hwy	open
Lift Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	200 TX-39	open
Monty's Tacos Ingram Tx	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	341 Highway 39	open
Ohana's Shaved Ice	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	610 TX-39 stuite C	open
Ole Ingram Social Club	Bar		210 TX-39	open
QueZeen Barbecue Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	610 TX-39	open
Rita's Famous Tacos 2 and Poquito de Todo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3130 Junction Hwy	open
SEEDS	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Healthy / salads / bowls	820 TX-39	open
Taqueria Los Altos De Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	3155 Junction Hwy	open
The Fancy Finch Tea Cottage	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	3403 Junction Hwy	open
Truffles & Vines LLC	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	321 Highway 39	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	3215 Junction Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	4	3	—	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	6	4	1	1	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	4	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	3	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	5	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	—	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	5	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	4	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	3	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	3	1	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	4	3	1	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	6	4	2	2	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	9	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	8	4	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	11	6	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	9	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	10	6	3	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	13	9	3	5	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78025. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.