BMIE Market 78101

Bexar County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,267 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,829 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,530 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±359 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,898 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,971 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$111,280 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,945 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,132 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±232 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$335,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,204 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	52.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78101
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 6–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.43) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78101. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.43, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.2	74	40%	+29.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.6	73	35%	+25.4
Market Momentum Score	66.8	67	25%	+16.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,267	66	40%	+26.4
Median household income (ACS)	111,280	87	40%	+34.9
Households (ACS)	2,530	65	20%	+12.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	35%	+22.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.3	79	25%	+19.8
Population (ACS)	7,267	66	20%	+13.2
Median household income (ACS)	111,280	87	20%	+17.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	30%	+18.9
20-year restaurant growth	20	46	20%	+9.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

BBQ 4 · Mexican 4 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Pizza 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Bar 6 · Bakery 3 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Back Yard Burgers	Café	Coffee	12145 Loop 107 Ste 3	open
Bill Miller Bar-B-Q Bill Miller Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	12345 US Hwy 87 E	open
Boyd's Kick-in Bar-be-que,llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1207 Kayroe Rd	open
Buck's Saloon	Bar		3751 TX-1604 Loop S	open
Buenas Ideas	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4803 E Loop 1604 S	open
Cactus Land Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		368 County Rd 325	open
Corralejos Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	8855 E Loop 1604 S	open
Eggstead	Bakery	Bakery	4515 Rakowitz Rd	open
Farmhaus Table	Casual dining · Bar	American	2239 FM 3432	open
Good Juju	Café	Coffee	13431 US HWY 87 E	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12220 US Hwy 87 E	open
Longbranch Saloon The Longbranch	Bar		11070 US Hwy 87 E	open
Loop 107 Burgers, Bakery And More	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11505 Loop 107	open
Mesquite Dance Hall	Bar		Mt Olive Rd	open
Norma's Place Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	11420 US Hwy 87 E	open
Rancho La Illusion of San Antonio Tx	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	E Loop 1604 S	open
RED'S Texas BBQ and More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	12028 New Sulphur Springs Rd	open
Snack Attack Shop	Quick service		11355 US Highway 87 S	open
Tejas - Steaks And Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	13515 US Highway 87 S	open
Texas Pride Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2980 E Loop 1604 S	open
Tomboys Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	191 Oak Park Rd	open
Wing and a Prayer Cottage Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1112 Hummingbird Ln	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	4	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	7	6	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	9	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	8	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	6	5	—	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78101. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
78263	4.8 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.