BMIE Market 78133

Comal County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,959 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,647 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,427 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±584 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,269 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,397 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$83,853 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,107 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	50.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,354 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±241 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$349,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,953 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	75.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	33 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78133
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+43.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+120.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	40 (range 35–44) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.8 per year, r² 0.90) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78133. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.90, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	76.8	77	40%	+30.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.2	76	35%	+26.7
Market Momentum Score	91.1	91	25%	+22.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,959	83	40%	+33.2
Median household income (ACS)	83,853	67	40%	+26.7
Households (ACS)	9,427	84	20%	+16.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	120	95	35%	+33.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.0	53	25%	+13.1
Population (ACS)	21,959	83	20%	+16.6
Median household income (ACS)	83,853	67	20%	+13.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	43.5	88	50%	+44.1
10-year restaurant growth	120	95	30%	+28.4
20-year restaurant growth	200	93	20%	+18.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (99)

By cuisine

American 21 · Coffee 17 · Mexican 13 · Pizza 10 · Bakery 6 · Burgers 6 · BBQ 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Asian 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 52 · Bar 21 · Café 14 · Casual dining 14 · Quick service 13 · Coffee shop 11 · Food truck 8 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Delivery-focused 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Allen's B's and D's	Food truck		13102 FM-306	open
Asher's Igloo	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	18501 FM-306	open
Authentic Mexican Restaurant JHUGOS los 2 Limones	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1768 FM2673	open
Baja BBQ Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · BBQ	280 Marina	open
Bare Bull BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	8545 FM-2673	open
Big Country Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	8464 FM 2673	open
Bunkers Sport Bar	Bar		405 Watts Ln	open
Cafe Guadalajara	Café	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Coffee	17989 FM-306	open
Carla's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Cuban · Breakfast · American	18501 FM 306	open
Cattle Creek Coffee Company	Coffee shop	Coffee	8471 FM 2673	open
Chicken Little	Restaurant (service type not stated)		145 FM 2673	open
Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18100 FM-306	open
Comal Cafe	Café	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Coffee	10325 Startz Rd	open
Cupbearer Coffee Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	18382 FM-306	open
D'Vine House Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mexican	2173 Potters Creek Rd	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	8536 FM2673	open
Daisy Dukes Bar N Grill	Bar		145 FM 2673	open
Dam Red Barn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		16520 S Access Rd	open
Delia's Parrilladas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8695 FM2673	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	18382 FM306 # 104	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	8565 FM-2673	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		8536 Fm Rd 2673	open
Duncan Clan Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14601 FM 306	open
Elio's Osteria e Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1834 FM2673	open
Fawncrest Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1370 W Side Cir	open
Foodelicious	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	12135 FM306	open
Front Porch Tamales	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	8389 FM2673	open
Gennaro's Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	10018 Startz Rd	open
Goofy’s Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	13124 FM306	open
Granny D's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1754 FM 2673	open
Granny D's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	14312 FM-306	open
Grayla's Ices	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	18200 Fm 306 Ste 100	open
Halfway House Garage	Casual dining · Bar		Canyon Lake, TX, United States	open
Happy Hoagie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	145 FM2673	open
High Noon Slice Society	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	18200 FM306	open
Hunt Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings		open
Irish Times	Bar		10530 FM 2673 Ste 3	open
Italian Garden Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Coffee	18220 FM-306	open
Jay and Diane's Horseshoe Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	12020 FM306	open
Jo-N-Go	Coffee shop · Food truck · Café	Coffee	405 Canyon Cir Dr	open
Kafekali & Bakery	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3434 FM-2673	open
Koffea	Café · Food truck	Coffee	8587 FM-2673	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		12135 Fm 306	open
La Pasadita Cocina Mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	18121 FM 306	open
Las Barcas Tex-Mex Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	10103 FM2673	open
Lucky's Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining	American	18100 FM306	open
Maven's Inn & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	10530 FM2673	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8036 FM2673	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		18381 Fm306	open
MIDNIGHT EXPRESS	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		14070 Fm 306	open
Mima's Tacos To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	18100 FM-306	open
MugShotz Coffee!	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	8464 FM2673	open
My Sweet Basil	Food truck		8475 FM 2673	open
Nik's Not Normal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	9941 FM2673	open
Oasis bar	Bar		17545 FM306, 17545 FM306	open
Peppers Grille	Quick service	Mexican	18100 FM-306	open
Pier Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	145 FM2673	open
Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9871 FM 2673	open
Red's Chicken And Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8695 FM 2673	open
River Rose Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		145 FM2673	open
Robert's By The Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20884 FM 306	open
Rockin' Roadrunner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Vietnamese · Chinese	385 Steamboat	open
Sergio Tacos Sergios TACOS INC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	127 Kanz Dr	open
Shanty Tiki Bar	Bar · Casual dining		12100 FM306	open
Silly Rabbit Saloon	Bar		15740 Cranes Mill Rd	open
Silly Rabbit Saloon	Bar		8565 FM-2673	open
Silver Sage Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	18382 FM 306 Ste 106	open
Sips & Sweets	Dessert · Casual dining · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Dessert · Burgers · Tea / bubble tea · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	14601 FM-306	open
Smokeshow Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1642 FM2673	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	18350 Fm 306	open
south end pub	Bar		10530 FM 2673	open
Startz Cafe	Café · Casual dining	Coffee · American	10350 Startz Rd	open
Stomping Grounds Coffee	Coffee shop · Food truck · Café	Coffee	161 Canyon Bend	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	17420 FM 306 #B	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7838 FM 2673	open
Sugar & Scribe Cookie Co.	Bakery	Bakery	Canyon Lake	open
Sunoco	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		12121 FM 306	open
Sunset Treats	Dessert	Dessert	1600 FM2673 #3	open
Sweeties Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1521 FM-2673	open
Sweeties Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee	18055 FM306	open
Tacolicious	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9841 FM 2673	open
Tacos Don Chente	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1855 FM2673	open
Texas Juice Company	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	18200 Fm 306 Ste 160	open
Texas Whiskey Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		161 Canyon Bend	open
The Brutumus Fuse Box	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	8464 FM-2673	open
The Lazy Baker	Bakery	Bakery	157 Vesper	open
The Nest Coffee Haus	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	18100 FM306	open
The Nutrition Shack, Canyon Lake, Tx	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	14120 FM 306	open
The Real Pit BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	14645 River Rd	open
Tiny Home Grill - Gourmet Burgers	Food truck	Burgers · American	919 FM-2673	open
Tommy Zmoke Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · BBQ	919 FM2673	open
Tommy Zmoke Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15895 FM 306	open
Tubu Freedom, Llc Dba Pure Freedom Consulting	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2010 FM 2673	open
Villanova's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	18200 FM306	open
Wake Espresso	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	8392 FM2673	open
Wicked Good Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	1478 FM 2673	open
Wicked Voodoo Espresso Canyon Lake Wicked Voodoo Espresso Creekside	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	River Rose Tavern, 145 FM-2673	open
Wildflour Artisan Bakery & Grill	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Bakery	2000 FM-2673	open
Wildflour Artisan Bakery & Grill North	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · American	20884 FM-306	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	11	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	20	17	14	2	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	16	14	11	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	13	13	9	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	13	13	7	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	13	9	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	12	11	8	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	15	14	11	2	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	17	16	10	4	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	21	19	14	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	21	20	12	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	16	15	9	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	17	16	10	6	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	18	17	9	8	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	19	16	8	8	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	18	16	8	8	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	16	15	7	8	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	17	15	9	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	15	13	10	3	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	21	19	13	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	23	22	9	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	24	23	9	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	27	25	10	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	25	10	13	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	27	24	9	12	3	3	NAICS2017
2022	35	31	13	14	4	3	NAICS2022
2023	36	33	15	14	4	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78133. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.