BMIE Market 78163

Comal County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,141 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,575 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,661 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±573 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,838 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,745 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$140,594 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,517 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,951 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±387 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$435,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	74.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78163
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+91.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+109.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+360.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+475.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 19–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	84 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	95 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78163. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.0	86	40%	+34.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	84.3	84	35%	+29.5
Market Momentum Score	94.9	95	25%	+23.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,141	81	40%	+32.3
Median household income (ACS)	140,594	95	40%	+38.0
Households (ACS)	6,661	79	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	109.1	94	35%	+33.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.0	64	25%	+16.1
Population (ACS)	19,141	81	20%	+16.1
Median household income (ACS)	140,594	95	20%	+19.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 95 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	91.7	94	50%	+47.1
10-year restaurant growth	109.1	94	30%	+28.3
20-year restaurant growth	360	98	20%	+19.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

Coffee 11 · Mexican 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Japanese 2 · Pizza 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · Sushi 2 · Thai 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Coffee shop 10 · Bar 6 · Bakery 5 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
46th Street New York Style Pizzeria 46th St. "New York Style" Pizzeria /Alamo Ranch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	121 Bulverde Crossing Rd	open
Apollo's Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	29505 Us-281	open
Barnhouse Coffee Truck	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	30690 Blanco Rd	open
Beanmeup	Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Berry Yummy Sweets	Dessert	Dessert	29511 Winter Copper	open
Broken Road Coffee Company	Coffee shop	Coffee		open
Chapline Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom		30790 Blanco Rd	open
Chelsea Lietz Photography	Restaurant (service type not stated)		31605 Stahl Ln	open
Chuck's Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	29782 US Highway 281 N # 2	open
Cibolo Creek Eatery & Venue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	29675 Bulverde Ln	open
Confetti and Cream	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	2420 Bulverde Rd	open
Crossroads Bakery & Bistro	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Bakery	2272 FM-1863	open
Daddy O Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	25089 TX-46	open
Daniel Lane Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		30790 Blanco Rd	open
El Sabor De Guanajuato, LLC (food truck)	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea	Mexican · Juice / smoothies	28985 US-281	open
Front Porch Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2265 Bulverde Rd	open
Hatch Cafe and Bakery	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2360 Bulverde Rd	open
Irish Up Coffee Bar	Coffee shop	Coffee	32357 US Highway 281 N	open
Mario's of NYC Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	29774 US Highway 281 N Ste 216	open
Mariposa’s Wine Bar	Bar		33855 Blanco Rd	open
Mariscos El Paisa Mariscos El PAISA Jamaica	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other)	29094 US-281	open
Nutrition 46	Restaurant (service type not stated)		121 Bulverde Crossing Rd	open
On The Grind	Coffee shop	Coffee	104 Bulverde Crossing Rd	open
Picadillo Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	30089 US-281	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		4470 Farm To Market Road 1863	open
Ricos Tacos Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	30070 US-281 #242	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	20555 Highway 46 West	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	109 Old Boerne Rd	open
Taco Bell	Quick service		33889 US Highway 281 N	open
Tejas Steakhouse & Saloon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	401 Obst Rd	open
Thai Kitchen & Sushi Bar	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert · Thai · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	29782 US-281	open
Thai Kitchen & Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Thai Kitchen & Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	32357 US-281	open
The Coffee Pail	Coffee shop	Coffee	29505 US Highway 281 N	open
The Pink Pantry	Bakery	Bakery	1151 Scholz Rd	open
The Pupper Place	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		5747 Temerity Way	open
The Rustic Bean Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	30690 Blanco Rd	open
Twine Bulverde	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2471 Bulverde Rd	open
Verde Bistro Tapas And Martini Bar	Bar	Spanish / tapas	2355-3 Bulverde Rd	open
Vine in the Village	Bar	Spanish / tapas	2295 Bulverde Rd	open
Vintage Wine and Coffee Bar	Coffee shop	Coffee	2295 Bulverde Rd	open
Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	33889 US Highway 281 N	open
Mike's In The Village	Casual dining		2355 Bulverde Rd # 3	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	9	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	7	5	1	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	13	11	4	7	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	9	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	9	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	11	4	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	12	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	5	6	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	13	12	5	7	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	15	13	6	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	13	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	12	5	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	15	13	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	14	6	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	17	13	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	21	8	9	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	23	10	9	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78163. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.