BMIE Market 78252
Bexar County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 21,790 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,906 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,626 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±580 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 7,372 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 1,738 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $85,518 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,605 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 31.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,549 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±323 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $250,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,812 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 28.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 4 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78252 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 1.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +150.0% DERIVED: 2016 → 2021, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +300.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +300.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 6 (range 5–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2009–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.85) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 96 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78252. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2009–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.85, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 76.3 | 76 | 40% | +30.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 87.3 | 87 | 35% | +30.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 96.0 | 96 | 25% | +24.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 21,790 | 83 | 40% | +33.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 85,518 | 69 | 40% | +27.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,626 | 78 | 20% | +15.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 100 | 92 | 35% | +32.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 1.8 | 99 | 25% | +24.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 21,790 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 85,518 | 69 | 20% | +13.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 96 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 150 | 98 | 50% | +49.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 100 | 92 | 30% | +27.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 300 | 97 | 20% | +19.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (24)
By cuisine
Mexican 7 · Dessert 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Coffee 4 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Pizza 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Café 4 · Bar 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Quick service 3 · Casual dining 2 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Proof Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 11880 US-90 | open |
| AGUASCALIENTES TAQUERIA | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 12790 W Loop 1604 S | open |
| Big D's Donut Company | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Pizza · Coffee | 12980 U S Highway 90 W | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6617 TX-1604 Loop | open |
| Chuma’s Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 8736 Old Pearsall Rd | open |
| Cubita's Raspas | Dessert | Dessert · Latin American (other) | 10525 TX-1604-LOOP | open |
| Divu Pâtisserie | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 6606 Hoffman Pln | open |
| EL Burrito Tapatio - 1604 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 12030 TX-1604 Loop | open |
| El Guacamole Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 11880 US-90 | open |
| El Sol 113 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 13634 Flock Pl | open |
| El Tampico | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6235 WT Montgomery Rd | open | |
| Golden glazed donut & cafe | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop · Café | Dessert · Coffee | 6032 Wt Montgomery | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 8827 SW Loop 410 | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6617 W Loop 1604 S, 6617 W Loop 1604 S | open |
| Little Joe's Ice House | Bar | 7405 Old Pearsall Rd | open | |
| Miss Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 12444 US-90 | open |
| Sinful Snaxs, LLC. TM | Bakery | Bakery | 7504 Romaire Run | open |
| Sweet Seven | Dessert · Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | 7706 Proton Smt | open |
| Tacos Jesus Maria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 12060 Robert Glen | open |
| Taqueria El Milagro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6719 Wt Montgomery | open |
| The Gathering Grounds Coffee Co. | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 8791 Old Pearsall Rd | open |
| The Rooster Colombian Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 6235 WT Montgomery Rd | open |
| Trader's Hall | Bar | open | ||
| Yummy Yummy’s Eats & Treats | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chinese · BBQ | 8692 Old Pearsall Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 7 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 5 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |