BMIE Market 78336

San Patricio County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,424 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±833 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,846 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±361 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,949 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,067 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,420 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,306 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,147 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±321 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$214,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,250 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	60.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78336
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+41.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+70.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+54.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+209.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	38 (range 35–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.2 per year, r² 0.91) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78336. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.91, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	55.1	55	40%	+22.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56.7	57	35%	+19.9
Market Momentum Score	84.1	84	25%	+21.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,424	74	40%	+29.5
Median household income (ACS)	58,420	27	40%	+10.8
Households (ACS)	4,846	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	70	88	35%	+30.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.4	23	25%	+5.8
Population (ACS)	12,424	74	20%	+14.8
Median household income (ACS)	58,420	27	20%	+5.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	41.7	88	50%	+43.9
10-year restaurant growth	70	88	30%	+26.4
20-year restaurant growth	54.6	69	20%	+13.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (77)

By cuisine

Mexican 10 · Coffee 8 · Seafood 8 · American 7 · Pizza 6 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 6 · Burgers 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Bakery 3 · BBQ 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Dessert 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 43 · Quick service 20 · Bar 16 · Casual dining 9 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 4 · Food truck 4 · Bakery 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Wine of Mine Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		264 S Commercial St	open
Aransas Pass Brewing Company Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		130 E Goodnight Ave	open
Bakery Cafe Bakery Cafe	Café · Casual dining · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery · American	434 S Commercial St	open
Big Fisherman Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Seafood	510 State Highway 188	open
Black Pearl Seafood	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Juice / smoothies	218 E Goodnight Ave	open
Bobalicious Soup & Sandwich	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	406 S Commercial St	open
Boots BBQ and Catering	Catering · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	1136 W Wheeler Ave	open
Butter Churn	Buffet	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1275 Hwy 35 Bypass	open
Captain Joe's Seafood Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food · Seafood	324 E Goodnight Ave	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1901 W. Wheeler Avenue	open
Coastal Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	1119 W Wheeler Ave	open
Coasters	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		320 Huff St	open
Commercial Street Icehouse	Bar	Pizza	337 S Commercial St	open
Crab-N Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	210 Gulf Gate Rd	open
Crow's Nest	Bar		455 N Commercial St	open
Da Smoke Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2285 W Wheeler Ave	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	535 W Cleveland Blvd 535 W Cleveland Blvd	open
Dat Crawfish Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2231 S Commercial St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	353 S Commercial	open
Donut Palace	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	103 W Cleveland Blvd	open
Dorado's Restaurant & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	518 Bigelow St	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		535 W Cleveland Blvd	open
Dueling Pistols Bar	Bar		208 E Wheeler Ave	open
El mexicano restaurante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1842 W Wheeler Ave	open
Erickson & Jensen Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	420 Bigelow St	open
I Love Noodle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	1119 W Wheeler Ave	open
Jolly Roger's Galley	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	441 TX-188	open
Laredo Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	525 S Commercial St	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		301 E Goodnight Avenue	open
Little Caesars Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3920 S Padre Island Dr	open
Little I's Snow Cones & Treats	Dessert	Dessert	1589 S Commercial St	open
Little Is Snowcone	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert	1408 S Saunders St	open
Lorenzo's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	210 Gulf Gate Blvd	open
M&J's Hometown Cafe	Café	Coffee	1119 W Wheeler Ave	open
Mama T's Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	238 N Houston St	open
Martin's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1605 W Wheeler Ave	open
McDonald's	Quick service		2475 W Wheeler Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2475 W Wheeler Ave	open
Mickey's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	430 Ransom Rd	open
Mini Vallarta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	939 W Wheeler Ave	open
Pepito's Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1212 Highway 35 Byp	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2735 W Wheeler Ave	open
Pook's Pub	Bar		402 S Commercial St	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	515 E Goodnight Ave	open
Rivals Sports Bar	Bar		3714 FM 1069	open
Rockin' B Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		326 S Commercial St	open
San Juan Restaurant and Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	4696 FM 1069	open
San Juan Restaurant Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	922 S Commercial St	open
Shorty's Pizza and More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	473 Banty Ln	open
Shrimp It Up	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Seafood	120 S 8th St	open
Sip Happens	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1140 W Wheeler Ave	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1662 W. Wheeler	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	140 S FM 1069	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	140 FM 1069	open
Steer Burger	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2308 Sawyer Ln	open
Steve & LuLu's at the Rialto	Food truck	American · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	327 S Commercial St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	1919-B W Wheeler, #6, Palm Plaza	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1919-B W Wheeler Ave #6	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2501 W Wheeler Ave	open
Sushi House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1119 W WHEELER Ave	open
Taco De Oro Restaurant LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Breakfast	324 N Commercial St	open
Taqueria Guadalajara Taqueria Guadalajara	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	525 S Commercial St	open
Taqueria Guanajuato	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	939 W Wheeler Ave	open
Taqueria Hacienda del Pueblo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1842 W Wheeler Ave	open
Taqueria In Aransas Pass	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4610 FM-1069	open
Taqueria Mi Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	936 W Wheeler Ave	open
Texas Pride Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	3714 Fm 1069	open
Texas Pride Sports Bar and Grill	Bar · Casual dining		3792 FM 1069	open
The Addiction	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1820 W Wheeler Ave	open
The Cove, In Aransas Pass, Tx	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	306 E Goodnight Ave	open
Trailer Trash Cafe	Food truck · Café · Bar	Coffee	313 Gena Ln	open
Wasted Seamen	Bar		864 N Commercial St	open
West Wheeler Foods Ltd	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1662 W Wheeler Ave	open
Wharf	Bar		1303 TX-35	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	2737 W WHEELER AVE	open
Wheeler Ave - Aransas Pass Whataburger	Quick service		2737 W WHEELER AVE	open
Billy Ellis Catering & Baked Goods	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1119 W Wheeler Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	11	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	15	11	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	22	18	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	21	15	8	6	1	5	NAICS1997
1999	24	17	9	8	—	7	NAICS1997
2000	27	19	9	9	1	8	NAICS1997
2001	24	18	7	9	2	6	NAICS1997
2002	23	19	9	8	2	4	NAICS1997
2003	25	22	12	10	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	23	21	12	9	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	25	24	13	11	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	26	22	11	10	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	26	23	13	8	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	29	26	13	11	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	26	23	10	11	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	28	25	11	11	3	3	NAICS2007
2011	24	21	9	10	2	3	NAICS2007
2012	25	22	10	9	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	23	20	8	9	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	25	22	8	10	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	28	24	11	9	2	4	NAICS2012
2016	28	24	11	10	1	4	NAICS2012
2017	30	27	13	11	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	27	24	11	10	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	31	28	14	11	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	29	27	13	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	32	30	14	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	35	32	15	14	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	36	34	15	15	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78336. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.