BMIE Market 78380

Nueces County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	23,149 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±987 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,129 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±520 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	23,141 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,465 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$54,769 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,788 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$971 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$165,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,446 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	342.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	26 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78380
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+73.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	28 (range 24–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78380. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.5	58	40%	+23.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.8	63	35%	+22.0
Market Momentum Score	74.4	74	25%	+18.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	23,149	84	40%	+33.6
Median household income (ACS)	54,769	21	40%	+8.6
Households (ACS)	8,129	82	20%	+16.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	30	71	35%	+24.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.2	67	25%	+16.9
Population (ACS)	23,149	84	20%	+16.8
Median household income (ACS)	54,769	21	20%	+4.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	44.4	88	50%	+44.2
10-year restaurant growth	30	71	30%	+21.3
20-year restaurant growth	18.2	44	20%	+8.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (68)

By cuisine

Mexican 18 · American 11 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 9 · Burgers 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee 3 · Dessert 3 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Quick service 18 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Food truck 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
4 Aces Saloon	Bar		1201 Lincoln Ave	open
Anderson Acres	Casual dining · Bar		4050 Emil St	open
Atiya Muriel Atiya Muriel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	1460 White Avenue	open
Barrera's Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	105 S 3rd St	open
Beefy Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	312 W Ave J	open
Bluebonnet Delights	Restaurant (service type not stated)		914 Chapa St	open
Brizuela's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	16301 FM624	open
Buddy's Place	Bar		15910 Northwest Blvd	open
Cabrera Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	443 W Main Ave	open
Casablanca Cafe and Catering Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Cruiser’s Country Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2723 FM 665	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	640 W Ave J 640 W Ave J	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	604 W Avenue J	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		640 W Ave J	open
El Mexicano Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	609 E Ave J	open
Elevate Nutrition & Energy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	3239 County Road 48	open
Fermins Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · American	900 US-77	open
Golden Chick Golden Chick	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	644 W Ave J	open
Gulf Coast Wing & Burger Co.	Food truck	Chicken / wings · Burgers	140 W Avenue A	open
Happy Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	624 W Ave J	open
Hwy 77 - Robstown Whataburger	Quick service		502 N IH 69, Robstown, TX 78380	open
Jesse & Susy's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	150 W Ave A	open
La Estrella Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	301 N Upshaw Blvd	open
La Estrellita Llc	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Coffee	301 N Upshaw Blvd	open
La Estrellita Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	100 E Main Ave	open
La Familia Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		131 W Avenue A	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4959 Fm 665	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	628 Highway 44	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		628 Highway 44	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	224 E Main Ave	open
Lucy's Taco Stand	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	601 Western Ave	open
Maxi's	Bar		2233 N US Highway 77	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	301 S Hwy 77	open
Messers Sweet N Sour	Dessert · Quick service		301 Messer Ave	open
MG's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	410 E Main Ave	open
Molano's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2221 N US Highway 77	open
Mr. Hundley's Tyrannosauce	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5233 CR-79	open
My Cousin's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American		open
Nueces Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	15552 Northwest Blvd	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	309 W Avenue J Nueces	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	101 US-77 Bypass	open
Railroad Seafood & Brewery - 624	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	15701 Northwest Blvd	open
Ray's Cafe	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	900 N US Hwy 77	open
Rod 'n' Roll's Treats & Eats	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	324 W Ave J	open
Rosie's Tamales Rosie’s Tamales	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	600 E Avenue J	open
Short Stop Eatz	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		600 E Avenue J	open
Sno-Cup	Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	528 W Main Ave	open
Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	608 W J Ave	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	900 East Hwy 44	open
Super Snacks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	403 Lincoln Ave	open
Tacos El Tren	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	201 N Upshaw Blvd	open
Tacos Jalisco #2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1201 Lincoln Ave	open
Taqueria Amigos Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	105 US-77	open
Taqueria Guadalajara Taqueria Guadalajara	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	229 E Ave A	open
Taqueria Guadalajara Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	15938 Northwest Blvd	open
Taqueria Los Altos de Jalisco Taqueria Los Altos De Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	829 Industrial Blvd	open
Taqueria Mi Centenario	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	424 E Ave A	open
The cotton picker store	Restaurant (service type not stated)		402 E Avenue A	open
The High Chaparral	Bar		1961 N US Hwy 77	open
The Location Bar & Lounge	Bar		419 E Ave A	open
The Sweet Tooth Candy Apples	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Bakery · Juice / smoothies	202 Messer Ave	open
Up In Smoke BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ	400 W Main Ave	open
Vasquez Drive-Thru	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	500 Western Ave	open
Wetzel's Pretzels	Quick service		500 North IH-69 Space #408	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	502 N IH 69	open
Wicho's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	105 US-77	open
Martinez Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)		100 E Main Ave	closed
The Crawfish Shack & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5628 Williams Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	25	25	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	22	22	10	11	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	22	22	10	11	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	23	23	11	10	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	22	22	9	11	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	23	23	9	12	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	23	22	9	11	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	20	19	8	11	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	23	21	9	12	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	20	19	9	10	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	19	19	8	10	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	21	20	7	13	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	23	22	7	13	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	21	20	10	10	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	20	19	8	11	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	21	20	8	11	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	20	20	7	12	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	20	18	6	12	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	19	19	6	12	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	21	20	5	14	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	19	18	5	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	18	5	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	20	4	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	21	5	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	23	7	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	26	10	16	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	26	9	17	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78380. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
78339	3.7 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.