BMIE Market 78583

Cameron County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,236 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±692 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,952 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±198 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,623 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,225 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$51,453 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,967 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$698 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±84 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$161,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,664 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	93.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2019 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2019 detail (NAICS2017) · by USPS ZIP 78583
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2014 → 2019, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2009 → 2019, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-40.0% DERIVED: 1999 → 2019, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2024	3 (range 0–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2007–2019 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	43 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78583. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2007–2019, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	43.3	43	40%	+17.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.6	67	35%	+23.3
Market Momentum Score	47.0	47	25%	+11.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,236	61	40%	+24.5
Median household income (ACS)	51,453	17	40%	+6.7
Households (ACS)	1,952	61	20%	+12.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.7	89	25%	+22.3
Population (ACS)	5,236	61	20%	+12.2
Median household income (ACS)	51,453	17	20%	+3.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	-40	7	20%	+1.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (17)

By cuisine

Mexican 7 · American 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · BBQ 1 · Dessert 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Chili Willie's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	35420 Marshall Hutts Rd	open
Edna’s Sweets & Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	421 S Reynolds St	open
El Chilango Taquería	Food truck	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	Rio Hondo High School, 22547 State Highway 345	open
Hotel Del Norte Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	205 Madero Ave	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		28281 Fm 106	open
Marker 212 at Smiley's BAR	Bar		23752 FM-1846	open
Mary's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Coffee	206 W Colorado St, 202 Colorado Ave	open
Mel's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	31164 FM 106	open
Noelia's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	301 Colorado Ave	open
Ornelas Bakery & Food Store	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	229 W Colorado Ave	open
Parra’s tamales Rio hondo Parra’s Tamales And Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	325 Colorado Ave	open
Pizza Express Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	102 N Arroyo Blvd	open
Rio Viejo Cantina & More	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	28734 FM-106	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	325 East Colorado Suite A	open
Taqueria Rio Hondo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	28270 FM 106	open
The Arroyo Colorado Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Burgers · American	35241 FM2925	open
Triple J Ranch	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Coffee	34131 General Brant Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	6	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	4	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	4	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78583. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.