BMIE Market 78584

Starr County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,464 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±886 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,402 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±459 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	18,128 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,140 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$27,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,419 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	28.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$636 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±153 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$81,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,952 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	212.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78584
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+11.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+26.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+111.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 16–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.16) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78584. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.16, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.7	48	40%	+19.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.6	54	35%	+18.8
Market Momentum Score	38.0	38	25%	+9.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,464	80	40%	+32.0
Median household income (ACS)	27,056	2	40%	+0.6
Households (ACS)	5,402	75	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	11.8	56	35%	+19.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.3	71	25%	+17.8
Population (ACS)	18,464	80	20%	+16.0
Median household income (ACS)	27,056	2	20%	+0.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5	23	50%	+11.3
10-year restaurant growth	11.8	56	30%	+16.7
20-year restaurant growth	26.7	50	20%	+10.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (93)

By cuisine

Mexican 37 · Latin American (other) 13 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 9 · Burgers 7 · American 6 · Dessert 6 · Seafood 5 · Bakery 4 · BBQ 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Coffee 3 · Pizza 3 · Breakfast 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Hot dogs 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 66 · Quick service 27 · Dessert 8 · Food truck 8 · Casual dining 6 · Bar 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A la Vuelta	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Seafood	91 S Efren Ramirez Ave	open
Ancestral Craft Spirits	Winery / distillery / taproom		702 N Portscheller St	open
Angels Cake Shop	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	2576 E Grant St	open
Arcoiris	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		351 E Grant St	open
Barquito Oyster Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2042 E Grant St	open
Buffalos Wing Pub	Bar · Casual dining		1895 E Grant St #3	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	390 E Grant St	open
C&N	Quick service		454 Cerralvo Ave	open
Carnes Asadas El Canelo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	101 Azalea Ave	open
Carnes Asadas El Gordo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · BBQ	1355 E Grant St	open
Church's Texas Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	207 Grant Street	open
Church's Texas Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	207 E Grant St	open
Church’s Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	207 E Grant St	open
COCO BONGO Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	4522 E Highway 83	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1403 N Grant St 1403 N Grant St	open
Dari’s Hamburgers N More	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		5 E Grant St	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1004 E Grant St	open
Double plate	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2330 E Grant St	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		1403 N Grant St	open
Dulcería Mexicana y snak	Dessert	Mexican · Dessert	1875 N Highway 83	open
El Chilazzo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4937 US-83	open
El Jaripeo Tacos El Jarrito "Katy Texas"	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)		open
El Mexicano Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	Highway 83	open
El Mexicano Restaurant El Mexicano Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2695 E Grant St	open
El Pekado	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		2271 E Grant St	open
El Piriwiry	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4937 E Grant St	open
El Plateado Tacos y Gorditas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American		open
El Potrillo-Roma	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
El Puerto Tortilleria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	1475 E Grant St	open
El Pulpo Mariscos Y Mas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican	2787 E Grant St Ste #4	open
El Rincon Food to Go	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	2736 E Grant St	open
El Taco Rico Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		601 E Grant St	open
El Viejon	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Fiesta Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	402 N Grant St	open
Fresh Route	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2766 Turtle Dove St	open
Gorditas Lucy	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	1513 E Grant St	open
Gran Real Restaurante & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2734 E Grant St	open
Harvest Time Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Breakfast	4683 E HWY 83	open
Hawaiian Ice	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6 E Grant St	open
Hot Dogs El Potrero	Quick service	Hot dogs · Mexican	1890 E Grant St	open
Hwy 83 - Roma Whataburger	Quick service		505 US-83	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	201 E Grant St	open
Jarnal’s	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		E Grant St	open
Kicho's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	768 Ridge Rd	open
Koko Bongo #2	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		1208 N Grant St	open
La Cabana Drive Thru	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Mexican	2903 Hibiscus Rd	open
La Chalupa Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	1506 E Grant St	open
La Gonzalez Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2237 E Grant St	open
La Hacienda Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	589 US-83	open
La OLA Seafood	Quick service	Seafood · Mexican		open
La Valla Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2734 E Grant St	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2749 E Grant Street	open
Las Alitas Sports & Wings - Escobares Las Alitas Sports & Wings	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4897 US-83	open
Las Alitas Sports & Wings - Roma Las Alitas Sports & Wings	Casual dining · Bar	Chicken / wings	1863 US-83	open
Las Brasas Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1972 E Grant St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2070 E Grant St	open
Loncheria Los Quates	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	206E La Fragua Ave	open
Loros Taquerias	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1513 E Grant St	open
Los Molcajetes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	20 De Los Santos St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	104 E Grant Street	open
MERCY COFFEE & TEA LLC	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	1735 E Grant St	open
Mi Jacalito Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	4818 US-83	open
Miss Delicious Eat & Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	994 E Grant St	open
O'Maria's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1502 N Grant St	open
Panaderia Gonzalez	Bakery	Bakery		open
Pithayas Snowcones & more	Dessert · Food truck	Dessert	2341 E Grant St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	229 East Grant Street Starr	open
Popeye's Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service		2849 E Grant St	open
Porcion 72 Vintage Tea Room	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Breakfast	208 W Convent Blvd	open
R.a Drive Thru	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1890 E Grant St	open
Rancho Cafe & Gift Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	871 E Grant St	open
Rico's Antojitos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1303 N Grant St	open
Saenz's Smoking Meats	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	BBQ · Sandwiches	1432 1st St	open
Sour Batch	Dessert		49 Maple St	open
Starr Body Cafe: Fit Food, Shakes and More	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls	689 E Grant St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1505 N Grant St Ste 5	open
Tacos Alex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	4814 W US Highway 83	open
Tacos Alex	Food truck	Mexican	2271 E Grant St	open
Tacos Alex	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	688 E Grant St	open
Tacos Flores	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2344 E Grant St	open
Tacos Lencho Roma, Tx.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	Bazan 17 rd Escobares	open
Tacos Y Gorditas Hugo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4931 W Highway 83	open
Tacos y Hamburgesas la Esquisita	Quick service	Burgers	253 S Ash Ave	open
Tamales N' Salsas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	509 E Grant St	open
Taqueria Elias	Food truck	Mexican	2990 E Grant St	open
Taqueria Hidalgo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1835 E Grant St	open
Taqueria Pepe's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Latin American (other)	1785 E Grant St	open
Tequila's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2734 E Grant St	open
The Blue Marlin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1895 E Grant St	open
Tortas bye	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican		open
Tu Casa	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Latin American (other) · Healthy / salads / bowls	4676 US-83	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	505 US-83	open
Yardbird Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2903 Habiscus	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	11	7	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	15	14	7	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	13	13	6	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	14	14	6	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	15	15	5	9	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	13	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	15	15	5	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	15	15	5	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	14	14	5	7	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	16	16	6	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	17	17	6	10	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	18	18	9	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	17	7	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	18	18	7	10	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	17	17	6	10	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	18	18	6	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	19	19	5	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	20	5	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	24	6	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	21	21	5	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	19	5	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	18	5	13	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	19	6	13	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78584. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.