BMIE Market 78605

Burnet County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,573 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±784 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,849 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±312 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,952 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,013 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$83,542 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,610 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,230 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±383 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$324,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±45,337 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	172.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78605
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+133.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+600.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 5–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78605. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.4	66	40%	+26.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.4	76	35%	+26.7
Market Momentum Score	91.0	91	25%	+22.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,573	67	40%	+26.7
Median household income (ACS)	83,542	66	40%	+26.6
Households (ACS)	2,849	66	20%	+13.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	75	89	35%	+31.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.2	75	25%	+18.8
Population (ACS)	7,573	67	20%	+13.3
Median household income (ACS)	83,542	66	20%	+13.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	75	94	50%	+46.9
10-year restaurant growth	75	89	30%	+26.6
20-year restaurant growth	133.3	88	20%	+17.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · American 4 · BBQ 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Pizza 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Café 6 · Winery / distillery / taproom 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Food truck 2 · Quick service 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
456 Asian Fusion & Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Seafood · Sandwiches	100 W FM 243	open
Bacon Me Crazy	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	132 W Vaughan St	open
Caffeinated Chaos	Coffee shop	Coffee	18000 E State Hwy 29	open
Crazy Gal's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	534-544 State Hig. 29	open
Donut Plus	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	100 W FM 243	open
El Rancho Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	535 E State Highway 29	open
Flanigan's Texas Distillery & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		330 N Lampasas St	open
Fratelli Pizza Fratelli Pizza,Coffee,&Gelato-Bertram	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	240 W State Highway 29	open
Gathering Grounds	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	147 E Vaughan St	open
Hill Country Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	525 E State Hwy 29 Ste B	open
Hill Country Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		3317 E State Hwy 29	open
Howlin' Moon Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		525 E TX-29	open
HWY 29 BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	110 W State Highway 29	open
John Beere BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	525 W TX-29	open
Joppa Winds Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		250 Ater Ranch Est	open
Junction Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	102 Castleberry Ct	open
Kfire Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Kfire Winery & Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		3059 County Road 212	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	320 W State Highway 29	open
Mambo Italiano Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	100 W FM 243	open
Nutcracker Station	Dessert	Dessert	435 E TX-29	open
Patricia's Kitchen Taco's Madre	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	10817 Co Rd 272	open
Pilot Knob	Winery / distillery / taproom		3125 County Road 212, Bertram, TX 78605	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		107 Castleberry Court	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		2829 W Sh 29	open
Riffline Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	500 Balcones Ridge Way	open
Seafood STEAK & GRILL Bertram	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	100 W FM 243	open
Skyrocket Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1107 Co Rd 264 Bldg. 6A	open
Sticky Sweet Cups • Shaved Ice	Food truck · Café	Coffee	435 E State Highway 29	open
Texas Pecan Cake Shop	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	170 S Gabriel St	open
The Blend	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies	316 E Vaughan St	open
The Standard on Vaughan	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse	145 E Vaughan St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	4	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	4	2	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	6	6	4	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78605. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.