BMIE Market 78611

Burnet County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,560 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±706 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,873 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±347 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,977 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,280 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$80,938 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,817 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,035 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±258 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$319,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,303 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	274.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78611
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+19.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+34.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+121.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+138.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	33 (range 29–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.66) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78611. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.66, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.1	71	40%	+28.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.6	63	35%	+21.9
Market Momentum Score	78.1	78	25%	+19.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,560	76	40%	+30.5
Median household income (ACS)	80,938	63	40%	+25.4
Households (ACS)	5,873	77	20%	+15.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	34.8	75	35%	+26.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.3	34	25%	+8.5
Population (ACS)	14,560	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	80,938	63	20%	+12.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	19.2	77	50%	+38.3
10-year restaurant growth	34.8	75	30%	+22.4
20-year restaurant growth	121.4	86	20%	+17.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (82)

By cuisine

American 15 · Bakery 9 · Coffee 8 · Mexican 8 · Burgers 7 · BBQ 6 · Pizza 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Latin American (other) 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 16 · Bar 13 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 8 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Winery / distillery / taproom 5 · Casual dining 4 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
7 Creeks Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		400 County Road 200A	open
Aranya Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Indian · Asian	1015 E Polk St	open
Bbwt Restaurant Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		306 W Polk St	open
Bill's Burgers Wings and Things	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	306 W Polk St	open
Birds BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	302 N Water St #B	open
Burnet BBQ Cook-off	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1001 Houston Clinton Dr, Burnet , 78611, United States	open
Burnet Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	400 S Water St	open
Burnet Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		635 Buchanan Dr	open
Cafe Twenty-Three Hundred	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2300 W State Highway 29	open
Cakes by Spring	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Travis Trl	open
Chicken Express Chicken Express	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1510 S Water St	open
Crazy Gals Cafe Crazy Gals	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	414 TX-29	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	502 S Water St 502 S Water St	open
Dee's Shaved Ice House LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	606 Lakeway	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	203 West Polk St.	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		502 S Water St	open
El Rancho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	608 E Polk St	open
Farm to TableTop	Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	124 S Main St	open
FIRE & SMOKE PAYNE'S BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	616 BUCHANAN Dr	open
Fratelli Pizza #3 Burnet Fratelli Pizza,Coffee,&Gelato-Bertram	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	101 E Jackson St	open
Gravy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	607 E Polk St	open
Gude's Bakery and Deli	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	307 W Polk St	open
Hacienda El Charro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	306 S Water St	open
Happy Scoops	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	104 W Washington St	open
Highlander House of Buffet & Steakhouse	Casual dining · Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Steakhouse · American	401 Buchanan Dr Ste 11	open
Hillside Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	2751 W State Hwy 29	open
Hoover's Valley Cafe	Café	Coffee · American	7203 Park Rd 4 W	open
Hwy 29 - Burnet Whataburger	Quick service		402 E Polk St	open
Ingram Eatz BBQ Tx	Catering	BBQ · American	3751 W TX-29	open
Kona Ice	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	3514 State Park Rd 4	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2045 Ranch Road 261	open
La Loteria Mexican Food Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	504 E TX-29	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2501 S Water St	open
Lloyd FarmStand	Bakery	Bakery	2020 County Road 330	open
Los Comadres	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	204 S Water St	open
Mama's Home Cooking	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	635 Buchanan Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	200 N Water St	open
Mojo Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	609 E Polk St	open
Partymakers	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1102 Buchanan Dr	open
Perissos Vineyard and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		7214 Park Road 4 W	open
Piratas Snack Bar	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Dessert	1201 E Polk St #4	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	701 Buchanan Dr BURNET	open
Porky's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	100 Co Rd 128	open
Rosita's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	504 Buchanan Dr	open
Scot's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	609 E Polk St	open
Shadow & Light	Bar		12037 RR-2341	open
Sonic Sonic	Quick service		1404 S Water St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	904 Buchanan Drive	open
Sooo Yummy Bakery And Ice Cream Shop!	Bakery	Bakery	222 S Main St	open
Southern Food Service Management & Consulting Service Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		414 Buchanan Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	204 N Water St	open
Storm's Drive-in Storm's Drive-In Lampasas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	700 N Water St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	804 E Polk St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1400 S Water St	open
Taco San Miguel	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	600 Buchanan Dr	open
Taqueria Sierra	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1201 E Polk St	open
Tavera’s restaurant, millers market	Restaurant (service type not stated)		702 E Polk St	open
Tea-Licious	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · American	216 S Main St	open
Templeton's	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		570 Co Rd 133	open
The Draft Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		105 W Washington St	open
The Hotspot	Café		127 E Jackson St	open
The Maxican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · American	402 N Water St	open
The One Loose Tooth Tavern	Bar		1402 Buchanan Dr	open
The Play Corral	Coffee shop	Coffee	1001 S Water St. Suite F	open
The Ralph's Rio Cantina	Bar	Latin American (other)	118 Boutilier St	open
The Stache Pie Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	570 Co Rd 133	open
The Velvet Hen	Bakery	Bakery	401 Buchanan Dr	open
Thirsty Penguin - Burnet Thirsty Penguin	Bar		700 S Water St	open
Titan Ranch Burnet	Bar			open
TMRFE	Food truck	Breakfast	607 E Polk St	open
Toasty's Sourdough	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	29 and 281	open
Torr Na Lochs Vineyard and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		7055 W State Hwy 29	open
Unshakable Grounds Coffee Shop Now Sisters Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	134 S Main St	open
Uplift Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		1411 County Road 119	open
Wagon Springs Wine Room	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2424 County Rd 200	open
Warehouse BBQ and Meetery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	305 N Water St	open
Wedding Oak Winery Wedding Oak Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		229 S Pierce St	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	402 E Polk St	open
Willard Brewing LLC	Brewery / taproom · Quick service · Bar		106 Helenita St	open
Birds BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	302 N Water St	closed
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1408 S Water St	closed
Captain D's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1404 S Water St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	12	12	7	5	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	14	13	7	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	14	14	8	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	15	15	8	6	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	13	13	7	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	14	14	9	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	15	15	9	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	15	15	9	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	16	16	9	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	22	21	11	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	21	21	8	10	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	19	19	8	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	21	21	10	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	21	21	10	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	24	23	12	9	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	24	23	13	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	29	27	17	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	24	22	12	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	24	22	12	7	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	29	26	12	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	26	11	11	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	28	11	13	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	32	29	12	13	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	32	29	12	12	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	31	28	13	11	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	36	31	13	13	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78611. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.