BMIE Market 78617

Travis County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	30,756 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,795 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,950 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±769 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,210 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,027 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,640 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,989 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,529 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±188 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$281,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,949 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	64.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78617
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+140.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 12–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78617. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.3	72	40%	+28.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80.4	80	35%	+28.1
Market Momentum Score	79.8	80	25%	+19.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	30,756	89	40%	+35.7
Median household income (ACS)	71,640	50	40%	+19.9
Households (ACS)	8,950	83	20%	+16.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	3.9	95	25%	+23.8
Population (ACS)	30,756	89	20%	+17.9
Median household income (ACS)	71,640	50	20%	+9.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (65)

By cuisine

Mexican 17 · American 7 · Coffee 7 · Latin American (other) 7 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 6 · BBQ 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Dessert 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Italian 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 40 · Bar 14 · Food truck 9 · Café 7 · Dessert 5 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Austin Taste Us	Food truck		1615 Crozier Ln	open
Benji's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	12829 Ranft Cv	open
Blue Prairie	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4836 Highway 71 E	open
Cenizo Del Valle	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	15701 Pearce Ln	open
Club Mis Amigos	Bar		13820 FM 812 Rd	open
County Line Icehouse	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		5532 Highway 71 E	open
Dragon Delights	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	105 Maldonado Trl	open
EL Cerrito Latin Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	105 Maldonado Trail Unit H	open
El Cuarto Bate	Food truck		5326 Highway 71 E	open
El Michoacano Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	2701 Bastrop Hwy	open
El Paraiso Terrenal	Bar		2780 FM812	open
El rincon mexicano	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5801 Alomar Cv	open
El Sitio K-tracho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	105 Acuna Ct	open
Elroy Country Cafe	Café	Coffee	13912 FM 812 Rd	open
Enchiladas Mama Lencha	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	126 Diamante Dr	open
Fernando's Mexican Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Mexican	4515 E Hwy 71	open
Fruit Oasis	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	105 Acuna Ct	open
Fusion Delights DV	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	5200 Ross Rd	open
Gary's Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	375 Mesa Dr	open
Good Times At Dry Creek	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		5496 E Hwy 71	open
Henry's Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2403 Highway 71 E	open
Hit The Spot Cafe	Café	Coffee	5121 Albert Brown Dr	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		2517 E Highway 71	open
Jasmine's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2463 Highway 71 E	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	12800 Pearce Ln	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5200 Ross Rd	open
Kyote Junction	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	2737 Citation Dr	open
La Baby Social Entertaiment	Bar		2429 TX-71 E	open
La Casa De La Pupusa	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13912 FM-812	open
La Vaquerita Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	15701 Pearce Ln	open
Lety's Tacos	Quick service	Mexican	316 Mesa Dr	open
Lil' Red Lunch Box	Food truck	American	9016 Elroy Rd	open
LingLing Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	12008 Plains Valley Dr	open
Little Thailand	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	4315 Caldwell Ln	open
Live Oak Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		1615 Crozier Ln	open
Los 4 Hermanos Neveria Y Fruteria #2	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	7200 Elroy Rd	open
Lucky 13 Pizza	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4900 Irvine Lane	open
Meches Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	13602 FM812 B	open
Mechitas Taqueria y Pupuseria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	13917 FM-812	open
Novas Tex-Mex Fusion BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · BBQ	13000 FM812	open
Petra’s Mexican food truck	Food truck		8300 Wolf Ln	open
Pit Stop Bar and Grill	Bar · Casual dining		2715 FM-812	open
Protein Life	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13301 Dearbonne Dr	open
Pulpería Hondureña	Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 Acuna Ct	open
Que Rico Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	105 Acuna Ct	open
Raspas Super ZoRy	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts	5055 Highway 71 E	open
Red Taco Trailer	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex		open
Sbarro Sbarro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Chicken / wings · Italian	3132 Highway 71 E	open
Snack Attack	Food truck	Mexican · Burgers	4511 Highway 71 E	open
SONIC Drive In	Quick service		3115 Highway 71 E	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		5110 Ross Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2401 Cardinal Loop	open
Super Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	12800 Pearce Ln	open
Taqueria Hugo #1	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2829 FM812	open
Taqueria La Sabrosa	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican	4473 Highway 71 E	open
Tejano Explosion	Bar		2355 Highway 71 E	open
The Black Forest	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European · European · American	1615 Crozier Ln	open
The Waterhole Saloon	Bar		5244 State Hwy 71	open
Tierra Caliente Taqueria	Juice, smoothie, tea	Mexican · Juice / smoothies · American	4535 E Hwy 71	open
Torres Taqueria	Food truck		9201 Circuit of the Americas Blvd	open
Vallejo's taqueria bar	Bar	Burgers · Mexican	16601 Jacobson Rd	open
Velocity Lounge VIP Cota	Bar		Circuit of the Americas	open
Vz Eatz	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		15701 Pearce Ln	open
Wild Bubba's Wild Game Grill	Casual dining · Bar		13912 FM 812 Rd	open
Zimples	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7221 White Panda Run	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	7	5	3	2	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	10	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	4	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	6	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	7	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	3	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	4	1	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	7	2	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	6	1	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	6	1	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	2	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	9	3	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	13	8	2	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	8	2	2	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	14	9	2	2	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	9	2	2	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	8	2	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	8	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	10	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	10	5	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	11	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	21	11	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	23	12	3	5	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78617. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
78719	4.2 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.