BMIE Market 78629

Gonzales County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,740 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±692 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,986 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±297 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,887 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,989 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$59,521 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,668 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$829 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±152 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$206,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,994 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	421.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78629
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+21.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+27.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+64.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+211.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 27–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78629. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	56.1	56	40%	+22.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.9	53	35%	+18.5
Market Momentum Score	74.5	75	25%	+18.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,740	74	40%	+29.7
Median household income (ACS)	59,521	29	40%	+11.5
Households (ACS)	4,986	74	20%	+14.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	35%	+24.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.0	32	25%	+8.1
Population (ACS)	12,740	74	20%	+14.9
Median household income (ACS)	59,521	29	20%	+5.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	21.7	79	50%	+39.3
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	30%	+20.8
20-year restaurant growth	64.7	72	20%	+14.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (72)

By cuisine

American 14 · Mexican 12 · Bakery 7 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Steakhouse 3 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Bar 20 · Quick service 11 · Casual dining 10 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 4 · Café 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Acapulco Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	607 E Sarah DeWitt Dr	open
Alcalde Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	614 Saint Paul St	open
Baker Boys BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1404 N Sarah Dewitt Dr	open
Cantaritos y tequila bar	Bar		1402 St Louis St	open
Chill Zone Shaved Ice & Treats	Dessert		618 N St Joseph St	open
Come & Crepe It	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · French · European	521 N St Joseph St	open
Come and Take It Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	401 St George St	open
Cow Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	342 Hwy 90 Alt W	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	103 Saint Joseph St 103 Saint Joseph St	open
Daughn Kathy Cutting Horses	Bar		5007 S US Highway 183	open
Daylight Donuts Daylight Donuts of Portales	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	2001 Water St	open
Dixie Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	808 E Sarah Dewitt Dr	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1832 Water St	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		103 Saint Joseph St	open
El Cafecito Spot LLC	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1402 St Louis St	open
El Regio Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet	Mexican	513 Saint Andrew St	open
El Vaquero Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	183 Water St	open
First Shot Liquor	Winery / distillery / taproom		730 Seydler St	open
Frosti Creme	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	620 N Saint Joseph St	open
G G Steaks & Spirits	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Steakhouse	216 Middlebuster Rd	open
Golden Chick Golden Chick	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	223 N St Joseph St	open
Gonzales Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	320 St George St	open
Gonzales Food Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	311 St Lawrence St	open
Guerra's Grill & Catering	Casual dining · Catering · Bar	American	1303 St Lawrence St	open
H-e-b Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	825 E Sarah Dewitt Dr	open
Hard Times Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		350 St George St	open
Hollerin Heifer Mercantile	Dessert · Bakery	Bakery	507 N St Joseph St	open
Kountry Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	508 St Matthew St	open
La Bella Tavola	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	601 N St Joseph St	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		114 Us-90 Alt	open
Long Branch Saloon	Bar		315 Saint Lawrence St	open
Mari's Tacos	Food truck	Mexican		open
Matamoros Taco Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	201 N Saint Joseph St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	309 Hwy 90 Alt	open
Memo's Hangout	Casual dining · Bar		1402 Saint Louis St	open
MI LUPITA TACO HOUSE	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	613 N St Joseph St	open
Mr Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	726 E Sarah DeWitt Dr	open
NightOwl BrewHouse	Brewery / taproom · Bar		327 St George St	open
Niki V's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chicken / wings · American	1817 St. Joseph St	open
O Taste & See Bakery and Coffee Shop	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	605 E Sarah DeWitt Dr	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	312 US Hwy 90A E Gonzales	open
Reyna's Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1801 E Sarah DeWitt Dr	open
Riverview Fishing Camp and Bar	Bar	Seafood · American	246 County Road 470	open
Robert's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1600 E Sarah DeWitt Dr	open
Rodeo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	107 N St Joseph St	open
Running M Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		520 Saint Paul St	open
Rusty Rooster Rusty Rooster, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1826 E Sarah DeWitt Dr	open
San Antonio Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		715 St Paul St	open
Scorpion Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		621 St Francis St	open
Sheliah Kay Restaurants, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1404 N Sarah Dewitt Dr	open
shellenbergersgourmethotdogs	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Hot dogs · American	2016 Water St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1803 N. St. Joseph	open
Spanky's Sports Bar	Bar		2513 Harwood Rd	open
St George Deli & Coffee Shop, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		322 Saint George St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1620 N. Sarah Dewitt	open
Sweet chaos	Dessert		113 E Sarah Dewitt Dr	open
T.A	Bar		1430 St Paul St	open
TA Sports Bar	Bar		1430 St Paul St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1225 E. Sara Dewitt Drive	open
Taqueria Doloras	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)		open
Taquitos 183	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	102 E Wallace St	open
Templin Saloon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	621 Saint Paul St	open
Texpresso	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	104 U.S. 90 Alt W	open
Thirsty R at Thrive	Coffee shop	Coffee	1300 Martin St	open
Toni's Food Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)		209 St Lawrence St	open
Tragos Bar and Patio	Bar		342 Saint George St	open
Turn Around	Bar		1430 Saint Paul St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1114 E Sarah Dewitt Dr	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	1709 Saint Joseph St	open
Willi's Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse	2070 US-183	open
Willis Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining	American	810 St Paul St	open
Tropical Fusions Inc	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2712 Harwood Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	15	15	4	9	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	16	15	3	10	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	18	16	4	10	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	16	15	3	10	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	19	17	2	13	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	18	17	2	14	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	23	20	2	16	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	25	21	4	15	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	25	23	5	17	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	27	25	9	13	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	25	23	6	15	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	25	22	5	15	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	25	21	5	15	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	23	21	6	15	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	24	22	7	15	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	24	22	7	15	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	22	21	8	13	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	24	22	10	12	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	25	23	10	13	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	27	25	12	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	23	11	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	27	25	10	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	25	11	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	23	11	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	27	12	12	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	28	12	13	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78629. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.