BMIE Market 78643

Llano County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,088 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±482 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,188 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±296 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,139 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,003 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$68,365 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,010 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	54.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,077 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±86 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$362,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44,548 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	712.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78643
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	21.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-15.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+23.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+60.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 12–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.46) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	35 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	23 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78643. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.46, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	57.6	58	40%	+23.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	35.3	35	35%	+12.3
Market Momentum Score	23.1	23	25%	+5.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,088	66	40%	+26.3
Median household income (ACS)	68,365	44	40%	+17.8
Households (ACS)	3,188	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 35 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-15.8	16	35%	+5.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.6	31	25%	+7.8
Population (ACS)	7,088	66	20%	+13.1
Median household income (ACS)	68,365	44	20%	+8.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 23 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	50%	+8.9
10-year restaurant growth	-15.8	16	30%	+4.7
20-year restaurant growth	23.1	48	20%	+9.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (52)

By cuisine

American 11 · Bakery 4 · BBQ 4 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Mexican 3 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 31 · Bar 10 · Quick service 8 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Badu 1891	Restaurant (service type not stated)		601 Bessemer Ave	open
Bella Sera Italian Restaurant Llano,TX	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	910 W Young St	open
Berry Street Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	901 Berry St	open
Boater's Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	667 Sandy Mountain Dr	open
Bronson & Ryder Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		209 E Main St	open
Brothers Bar Bq	Restaurant (service type not stated)		405 W Young St	open
Burger Bar Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	604 Bessemer Ave	open
Chap's 29 Cafe and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	910 W Young St	open
Chicken Bone	Restaurant (service type not stated)		303 E Young St	open
Chicken Express Chicken Express	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	200 State Hwy 71	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	103 E Grayson St	open
Chrissy's Homestyle Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	501 Bessemer Ave	open
Cooper's Old Time Pit Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	604 W Young St	open
Coopers Bar BQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	506 E Dallas St	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	408 W Young St	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		408 W Young	open
Fuel Coffee House	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	106 E Main St	open
Gio's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood · Pizza	101 W Main St	open
Hill Country Cookies	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	325 Flag Creek Ranch Cir	open
Hungry Hunter Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		106 Far West Rd	open
Inman's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	809 W Young St	open
JJ’s Smokeworks & Catering	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	202 W Main St	open
Joe's Bar	Casual dining · Bar	American	107 W Main St	open
Juice on the Corner	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	101 E Main St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		103 Sunrise Dr	open
La Hacienda De Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	303 E Young St	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Highway 71	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		901 Bessemer Ave	open
LCR Bistro	Bar		1125 Ranch Road 2233	open
Llano Beer Company	Bar		105 E Main St	open
Llano Crawfish	Quick service	Seafood	303 E State Highway 71	open
Llano River Creamery and Kitchen	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	105 W Main St	open
Lonely Oak Kitchen + Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1125 Ranch Road 2233	open
LTX Mercantile & Redneck Speakeasy	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		809 Berry St	open
M and M Donut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	800 Bessemer Ave #4	open
Main Street Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)		103 E Main St	open
Mava Java Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	1004 Ford St	open
Melia Hospitality Group, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		601 Bessemer Ave	open
Pappy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	800 Bessemer Ave	open
Sandy Creek Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		1129 Ranch Road 2233	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	505 W Young Street	open
Stonewall's Pizza Wings & Things	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Pizza	109 W Main St, 109 W Main St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	800 Bessemer Suite 3	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	309 West Young Ave	open
The Barrel House	Casual dining · Bar	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	101 E Grayson St	open
The Falls	Bar		301 Bessemer Ave	open
The Sandbar Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		343 E Lakeshore Dr	open
The Sandbar Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		299 Sunrise Dr	open
The Taco Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	506 E Young St	open
Tommy's Mesquite-flamed Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	312 Bessemer Ave	open
Tree House Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	1125 Ranch Road 2233	open
War Trail Spirits - Llano Craft Distillery LLC	Winery / distillery / taproom		122 E Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	13	9	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	22	18	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	25	21	10	11	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	21	18	9	9	—	3	NAICS1997
2000	19	15	5	10	—	4	NAICS1997
2001	16	14	6	8	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	16	15	5	10	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	14	13	5	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	16	15	8	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	14	13	6	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	19	18	10	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	18	16	8	8	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	14	13	5	8	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	15	14	6	8	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	15	13	4	9	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	22	20	9	11	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	21	20	10	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	20	19	11	8	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	22	21	11	10	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	22	20	12	8	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	24	23	13	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	18	17	8	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	18	11	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	19	12	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	18	10	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	18	10	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	17	6	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	16	5	10	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78643. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.