BMIE Market 78644

Caldwell County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,348 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,175 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,747 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±543 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,081 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,178 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$74,709 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,867 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,155 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±90 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$279,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,576 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	179.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	40 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78644
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+90.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+90.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	49 (range 45–53) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.8 per year, r² 0.90) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	87 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78644. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.90, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	71.4	71	40%	+28.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69.8	70	35%	+24.4
Market Momentum Score	86.8	87	25%	+21.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,348	83	40%	+33.3
Median household income (ACS)	74,709	55	40%	+21.9
Households (ACS)	7,747	81	20%	+16.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	90.5	90	35%	+31.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.9	43	25%	+10.8
Population (ACS)	22,348	83	20%	+16.7
Median household income (ACS)	74,709	55	20%	+10.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	42.9	88	50%	+44.1
10-year restaurant growth	90.5	90	30%	+26.9
20-year restaurant growth	90.5	79	20%	+15.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (122)

By cuisine

American 28 · Mexican 14 · Coffee 13 · BBQ 10 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 9 · Burgers 8 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 8 · Chicken / wings 8 · Dessert 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Bakery 6 · Latin American (other) 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Breakfast 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Seafood 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 68 · Quick service 24 · Bar 21 · Café 13 · Casual dining 12 · Dessert 12 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Food truck 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Specialty food shop 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
102 S Colorado St Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	102 S Colorado St	open
6c Consulting Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1323 S Colorado St	open
Antojitos Gonzalez	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1209 S Main St	open
Arctic Chill Jr- Lockhart	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	730 S Colorado St	open
Austin Custom Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		80 County Lane	open
Austin Custom Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		80 County Ln	open
Barbs B Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	102 E Market St	open
Big Daddy's Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · Burgers	1209A S Main St	open
Black's Barbecue Lockhart Black's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	215 N Main St	open
Bruno’s Soul Club	Bar		211 E Market St	open
Bubba's in Lockhart	Bar		312 Blackjack St	open
Burro. Gourmet Tacos & Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	1126 S Colorado St	open
Carla's Food Baskets & More	Food truck	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1018 N Colorado St	open
Casa Jalisco Mexican Grill and Bar Casa Jalisco Victoria Texas	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2001 S Colorado St	open
Chaparral Coffee	Café · Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee · Breakfast	106 E Market St	open
Charlotte’s Lockhart	Bar		101 E San Antonio St	open
Chicken Express Chicken Express	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	734 S Colorado St	open
China Palace Lockhart Chinese food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1710 S Colorado St	open
Chisholm Trail R.V Park	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	117 E San Antonio St	open
Commerce Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	118 S Commerce St	open
Crossroad Christian Fellowship	Restaurant (service type not stated)		119 N Main St	open
desiderata estates	Bar		115 N Main St	open
Diesel's Dogs and Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse · Burgers	1306 S Commerce St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1906 S Colorado Suite 103	open
Donut Palace	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	820 S Colorado St	open
DQ Grill & Chill DQ Grill & Chill	Quick service		1125 S Colorado	open
Eddies Drive In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	604 E Market St	open
El Rey Crawfish & Oyster Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1721 S Commerce St	open
El Taco Feliz	Quick service · Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	906 S Colorado St	open
Elevate Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	10132 San Marcos Hwy	open
Elotazo Snack	Food truck		655 Morning Mist	open
Franks Of Fentress	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Fm Rd 20	open
Fresh Donuts	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert	910 S Colorado St	open
Fried Flavors	Quick service	Chicken / wings	101 S Colorado St	open
Fruteria Luz	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	906 S Colorado St	open
Game Day Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		1408 S Colorado St	open
Garcia's Mexican Food Garcia's Mexican Food Restaurant in Lockhart	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1711 S Colorado St	open
Golden Chick Golden Chick	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	640 S Colorado St	open
Guadalajara Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1710 S Colorado St	open
Henry's Restaurant Henry's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	215 S Commerce St	open
HTeaO - Lockhart HTeaO	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	1801 S Colorado St	open
Huddle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1801 S Colorado St	open
J.C.'S Roadhouse	Bar		5199 N US Highway 183	open
Javamotion	Restaurant (service type not stated)		119 E San Antonio St	open
Kaze Grill House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1801 S Colorado St	open
Keto Delights	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1100 State Park Rd Ste 113	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1908 S. Colorado Street	open
Kreisler bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American		open
Kreuz Market Kreuz Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern · BBQ	619 N Colorado St	open
Kreuz Market Kreuz Market	Specialty food shop	BBQ	208 S Commerce St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1511 W San Antonio St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1317 N Colorado St	open
La Cantera Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	119 E Walnut St	open
La Gloria Lockhart	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1420 S Colorado St	open
La Ideal Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	114 S Commerce St	open
La Rancheria Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	77 Old Lockhart Rd	open
Laly’s Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	903 S Colorado St	open
Last Chance Tavern	Bar		312 Blackjack St	open
Lil' Charlie's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	300 S Main St	open
Lilly's Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American · Burgers	109 W Walnut St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1711 S Colorado St Unit B	open
Little Trouble	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 E San Antonio St	open
Load Off Fannys	Casual dining · Bar		202 E Market St	open
Lockhart Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	1203 S Colorado St	open
Lockhart Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea	308 N Colorado St	open
Lockhart Seafood and Steak	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	912 S Commerce St	open
Lockhart's Daily Grind	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	1408 S Main St	open
Loop & Lil's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	107 N Main St	open
Lucky Break Saloon	Bar		106 S Commerce St	open
Lucky Duck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1108 State Park Rd	open
Madz Street Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1408 S Colorado St	open
Marios Tacos Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2111 W San Antonio St	open
Market Street Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	1100 State Park Rd	open
Market Street Cafe	Other · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Coffee	102 E Market St	open
Mayfield DQ Mayfield DQ	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1125 S Colorado St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1330 S Colorado	open
Mely's Icecream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1210 Black Ankle Rd	open
Mr Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	831 S Colorado St	open
Munchtime Express LLC	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	825 N Colorado St	open
O'Donnell's Cafe & Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		119 E San Antonio St	open
Old Pal Texas Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		100 E Market St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	610 S Colorado St	open
Poké In The Rear	Restaurant (service type not stated)		210 W San Antonio St	open
Pollos a la leña	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chicken / wings · American	3480 FM1185	open
Pumpkin Bake Shop	Café	Coffee	531 W San Antonio St	open
Restaurant Jezebel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	119 E San Antonio St	open
Riley's Pit BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1326 S Colorado St	open
Risk'y Business	Bar		211 E Market St	open
Rositas Restaurante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	115 E Walnut St	open
Salutary Goods	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	2112 S Colorado St	open
Schlotzsky's Schlotzsky's	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	111 N Colorado St	open
Scooter's Coffee Scooter's Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	102 S Colorado St	open
Simply True Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	212 S Main St	open
Smitty's Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	208 S Commerce St	open
Smoothie Glory	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1100 State Park Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	830 S. Colorado	open
State Park & Hwy 183 Whataburger	Quick service		100 STATE PARK RD	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	320 S Colorado St	open
Summer Moon Coffee Summer Moon Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1101 S Main St	open
Super Moreliana #2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1104 N Colorado St	open
Sutton & Shelby's Scoops Catering	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1100 State Park Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1400 S Colorado	open
Taco Madre 5	Food truck		1706 S Colorado St	open
Tacos Toreados	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	102 E San Antonio St	open
Taqueria la picoza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	308 N Colorado St	open
Terry Black's Barbecue Lockhart Terry Black's Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	900 N Colorado St	open
Tex Mex Sport Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	308 N Colorado St	open
The Baker's Rack	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	107 E San Antonio St	open
The Culinary Room	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	101 E San Antonio St	open
The Eldorado	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	101 E San Antonio St 2nd Floor	open
The Last Samurai Hibachi & Sushi Express	Food truck	Japanese · Sushi	1408 S Colorado St	open
The Lounge Sports Bar	Bar		211 E Market St	open
The Pearl	Bar		110 N Main St	open
Thorn & Bred Mercantile	Coffee shop · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	110 S Commerce St	open
Thumper's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1134 S Colorado St	open
U.T. Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		825 N Colorado St	open
Upscale Saloon	Casual dining · Bar		80 County Ln	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1904 S Colorado St	open
Wella Organics	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1403 E Mlk Jr Industrial Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1030 S Colorado St.	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	100 STATE PARK RD	open
Depot 183	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2112 S Colorado St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	20	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	19	19	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	24	23	9	11	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	22	21	7	12	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	20	18	6	11	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	20	19	7	11	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	21	21	9	10	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	21	21	7	9	3	—	NAICS2002
2004	27	24	9	10	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	23	20	8	8	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	23	22	9	10	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	26	25	9	15	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	24	23	8	13	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	27	26	9	13	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	29	27	10	13	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	27	25	10	12	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	27	23	7	13	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	24	21	6	13	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	29	24	10	13	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	33	29	15	13	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	31	27	13	12	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	30	28	11	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	30	28	12	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	34	30	12	14	4	3	NAICS2017
2020	40	37	14	16	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	41	38	17	15	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	42	38	17	16	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	45	40	16	18	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78644. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.