BMIE Market 78645

Travis County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,256 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±546 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,048 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±324 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,773 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,698 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$113,008 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,091 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	54.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,608 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±579 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$434,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,800 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	32.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78645
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+91.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+109.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+228.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+228.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 21–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	94 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78645. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.8	82	40%	+32.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79.1	79	35%	+27.7
Market Momentum Score	94.4	94	25%	+23.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,256	77	40%	+30.8
Median household income (ACS)	113,008	88	40%	+35.1
Households (ACS)	7,048	79	20%	+15.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	109.1	94	35%	+33.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.1	52	25%	+13.1
Population (ACS)	15,256	77	20%	+15.4
Median household income (ACS)	113,008	88	20%	+17.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 94 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	91.7	94	50%	+47.1
10-year restaurant growth	109.1	94	30%	+28.3
20-year restaurant growth	228.6	95	20%	+19.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (62)

By cuisine

American 10 · Mexican 7 · Coffee 6 · Pizza 6 · Burgers 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Asian 4 · Italian 4 · Bakery 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Bar 19 · Food truck 12 · Casual dining 11 · Quick service 6 · Café 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Delivery-focused 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
512 Pizza Truck	Food truck	Burgers · Pizza	422 Venture Blvd S	open
Alba Wine Bar	Bar		18700 Ranch Rd 1431	open
Alba Wine Bar	Bar		18700 Ranch Rd 1431 Ste A	open
Anovski's Crepes and Drinks	Coffee shop · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	7500 Lohman Ford Rd	open
Bajo La Luna Tex-Mex Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	18608 RM 1431	open
Bamboo Garden Wok N Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Chinese · Asian	7708 Lohman Ford Rd Ste 108B	open
Bella Vista	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	7708 Lohman Ford Rd	open
Bogeys and Birdies Scratch Grill	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		422 Venture Blvd S	open
Bohemian Barbecue	Food truck · Catering	BBQ	11370 Mountain Top Cir	open
Bread & Broth	Food truck		7500 Lohmans Ford Rd	open
Caddie Shack Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		422 Venture Blvd S	open
Cake Me Away	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18700 Fm 1431 Ste A	open
Captain Pete's Boathouse	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	18200 Lakepoint Cove	open
Casa Mexico Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7610 Lohmans Ford Rd	open
Copperhead Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6115 Lohman Ford Rd	open
Culinaryexp	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7500 Lohmans Ford Rd	open
Deedee's Tacos & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7717 Lohmans Ford Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1880 Crystal Falls Parkway	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	7708 B Lohmans Ford Road	open
Flajos QR	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		7500 Lohmans Ford Rd	open
Hometown Take and Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	18601 Farm to Market 1431	open
J and J BBQ and Burgers	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · Burgers	20520 FM-1431	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	20602 FM 1431 Suite 100	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	300 Venture Boulevard North	open
La Chaparrita Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	18638 RM 1431	open
Lago Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6300 Lohmans Ford Rd Ste A	open
Lago Donut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	7708 Lohman Ford Rd suite b 109	open
Lago Food Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7500 Lohman Ford Rd	open
Lago Pina Coladas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	American	18660 FM 1431	open
Lago Vista Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		8001 Bronco Ln	open
Lago Vista Healthy Food	Juice, smoothie, tea	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies	7708 Lohman Ford Rd	open
Lakeside Subs + Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches · Bakery	7708 Lohman Ford Rd	open
Latte Vista Cafe & Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	20520 FM 1431	open
Legacy BBQ and Catering Co	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Italian · Coffee	7708 Lohman Ford Rd	open
Lone Star Bar	Bar		18655 FM-1431	open
Marias bar and grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	20602 FM-1431	open
Marina's Artisan Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7500 Lohman Ford Rd	open
Mr Gatti's Pizza Mr Gatti's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	20900 RM 1431 #120	open
Pick Thai	Food truck	Thai · Asian	7500 Lohman Ford Rd	open
Quetzal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · American	18608 FM-1431	open
Rumi's Tavern	Bar		18626 FM 1431	open
Seeda Japanese Fusion	Food truck	Japanese · Asian	7500 Lohman Ford Rd	open
Sellers Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	American	7500 Lohman Ford Rd	open
Shades Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	18200 Lakepoint Cv	open
Smiling Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee	4712 Lohman Ford Rd	open
Solstice Coffee & Cocktails	Bar · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	18637 RM 1431	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	20700 Fm 1431	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	7708 Lohman Ford Rd	open
Tasty Bites	Food truck · Bar		8001 Bronco Ln	open
The Bunker Bar and Grille	Casual dining · Bar	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · American	4616 Rimrock Dr	open
The Burger Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	7708 Lohman Ford Rd Suite E202	open
The Cedar Tree Mediterranean Grill & Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	7708 Lohman Ford Rd	open
The Grille at Highland Lakes	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		20552 Highland Lake Dr	open
The Island Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		3404 American Dr	open
The Taco Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7708 Lohman Ford Rd Ste B103	open
True Grits Texas Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18645 FM 1431	open
Wild Hare Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		7301 Maritime Pass	open
wing kingz	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	7500 Lohman Ford Rd	open
Wylie's Place	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		7500 Lohman Ford Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7708 Lohman Ford Rd	open
Breaux's Cajun Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	7500 Lohmans Ford Rd	closed
Rounders Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	18653 FM 1431	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	8	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	9	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	10	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	12	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	9	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	12	10	5	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	15	11	3	5	3	2	NAICS2007
2009	15	11	3	5	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	17	13	4	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	13	11	3	7	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	14	11	5	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	17	11	6	4	1	3	NAICS2012
2014	18	12	6	5	1	4	NAICS2012
2015	14	11	5	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	14	11	4	6	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	15	12	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	15	9	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	14	9	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	16	8	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	28	20	8	8	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	33	23	8	8	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78645. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.