BMIE Market 78652

Travis County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,287 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±857 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,869 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±326 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,466 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,823 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$133,368 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,380 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,666 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±102 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$528,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±60,618 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78652
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+500.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 4–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2010–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.61) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	97 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78652. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2010–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.61, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.0	74	40%	+29.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81.8	82	35%	+28.6
Market Momentum Score	97.0	97	25%	+24.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,287	61	40%	+24.5
Median household income (ACS)	133,368	94	40%	+37.5
Households (ACS)	1,869	60	20%	+12.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	200	97	35%	+34.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.4	67	25%	+16.8
Population (ACS)	5,287	61	20%	+12.3
Median household income (ACS)	133,368	94	20%	+18.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 97 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	100	96	50%	+48.0
10-year restaurant growth	200	97	30%	+29.2
20-year restaurant growth	500	99	20%	+19.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (20)

By cuisine

Seafood 4 · Thai 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Coffee 2 · Pizza 2 · Burgers 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bar 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Casual dining 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Beaux Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	Bliss Spillar Rd	open
Beaux Seafood	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Juice / smoothies	2051 W Fm 1626	open
Beaux Southern Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	11300 Old San Antonio Rd	open
Beaux Southern Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2051 W FM 1626	open
Bigger Faster Stronger Training	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12925 Lowden Ln	open
Chuds Provisions	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	12109 Twin Creek Rd C	open
Doxa Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	11300 Old San Antonio Rd	open
G BOBS Mediterranean Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	11300 Old San Antonio Rd	open
Manchaca Springs Saloon	Casual dining · Bar		737 FM-1626	open
Melting Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Mexican · Latin American (other)	2051 Farm to Market 1626	open
Oui's Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Thai	11300 Old San Antonio Rd	open
Pepperbox Coffee and Roasting	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	13105 Fencerail Rd	open
Rose's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	12113 Twin Creek Rd	open
Rose's Kitchen Manchaca	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	12113 Twin Creek Rd	open
Simpson's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2301 Bliss Spillar Rd	open
Texas Keeper Cider	Brewery / taproom · Bar		12521 Twin Creek Rd	open
Tha Dog and Tha Koffee Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Sandwiches · American	2301 Bliss Spillar Rd	open
The Noble Draw	Bar		737 Farm to Market 1626	open
Tony's South Austin Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2301 Bliss Spillar Rd	open
Tony's South Austin Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2203 Farm to Market 1626	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	4	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	6	3	2	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	7	3	2	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	6	3	2	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	5	1	—	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	6	1	—	1	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	5	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	5	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	4	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	5	3	1	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	3	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	3	1	—	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	4	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	4	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2018	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78652. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
78748	2.8 mi	91	2023
78739	3.4 mi	5	2023
78610	4.0 mi	60	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.